The best indicator for XRP (XRP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real XRP (XRP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where XRP (XRP) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
HMA 9/21 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for XRP (XRP) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 52.0% CAGR.
XRP (XRP) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for XRP (XRP) — beating buy-and-hold by 24.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HMA 9/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 66.3% | 1.01 | -62.7% | 40.2% | 199 | 52.0% |
| 2 | Percentage Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 60.1% | 0.99 | -59.5% | 37.9% | 103 | 45.9% |
| 3 | PPO Cross ✓ | Daily | 60.1% | 0.99 | -59.5% | 37.9% | 103 | 45.9% |
| 4 | Triangular Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 50.7% | 0.97 | -64.6% | 39.7% | 151 | 36.5% |
| 5 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 58.4% | 0.97 | -62.6% | 40.8% | 174 | 44.2% |
| 6 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 58.0% | 0.96 | -67.2% | 39.0% | 77 | 43.7% |
| 7 | J_TPO ✓ | Daily | 54.2% | 0.94 | -59.9% | 39.5% | 162 | 39.9% |
| 8 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 54.8% | 0.92 | -70.6% | 36.8% | 144 | 40.5% |
| 9 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 54.8% | 0.92 | -70.6% | 36.8% | 144 | 40.5% |
| 10 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Daily | 54.8% | 0.92 | -70.6% | 36.8% | 144 | 40.5% |
| 11 | Bollinger 50 (x2.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 31.6% | 0.91 | -32.8% | 53.3% | 30 | 17.4% |
| 12 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 50.9% | 0.9 | -69.4% | 39.8% | 166 | 36.6% |
| 13 | MACD-V ✓ | Daily | 50.9% | 0.9 | -61.1% | 37.7% | 106 | 36.7% |
| 14 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 49.6% | 0.9 | -61.5% | 38.1% | 194 | 35.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on XRP (XRP)
168 of 1191 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on XRP (XRP) outright. Another 103 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 103 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Transform | 2 | none needed | 2.2× |
| Balance of Power | 2 | none needed | 2.19× |
| Least Squares MA | 2 | none needed | 2.04× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 1.74× |
| ROC (5) | 2 | none needed | 1.8× |
| Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) | 2 | none needed | 1.81× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For XRP (XRP), HMA 9/21 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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