The best indicator for Monero (XMR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Monero (XMR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Monero (XMR) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Monero (XMR) over ~8.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 28.0% CAGR.
Monero (XMR) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Monero (XMR) — beating buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 46.0% | 0.92 | -50.1% | 51.4% | 72 | 28.0% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 31.8% | 0.83 | -69.4% | 51.4% | 677 | 19.4% |
| 3 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 29.9% | 0.82 | -53.6% | 52.2% | 462 | 17.5% |
| 4 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 27.7% | 0.81 | -60.0% | 62.5% | 16 | 9.7% |
| 5 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Weekly | 31.7% | 0.78 | -74.6% | 56.2% | 16 | 13.7% |
| 6 | Tweezer Bottom ✓ | Daily | 21.4% | 0.76 | -63.7% | 42.6% | 115 | 9.0% |
| 7 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 29.0% | 0.75 | -65.0% | 42.1% | 38 | 11.0% |
| 8 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 28.3% | 0.74 | -72.4% | 39.8% | 88 | 15.9% |
| 9 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 22.0% | 0.74 | -38.3% | 58.8% | 17 | 4.0% |
| 10 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 29.7% | 0.73 | -78.8% | 43.5% | 23 | 11.7% |
| 11 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 26.5% | 0.72 | -73.2% | 50.0% | 32 | 8.5% |
| 12 | Coral Trend ✓ | Daily | 26.6% | 0.71 | -71.6% | 50.0% | 70 | 14.2% |
| 13 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 28.5% | 0.71 | -70.7% | 46.2% | 93 | 10.5% |
| 14 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 26.9% | 0.69 | -75.8% | 68.4% | 19 | 8.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Monero (XMR)
32 of 472 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Monero (XMR) outright. Another 67 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 106 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detrended Price Osc. | 2 | none needed | 2.91× |
| MACD | 1 | none needed | 2.39× |
| Bollinger Mean-Reversion | 1 | none needed | 4.35× |
| WaveTrend (8/6/4) | 1 | none needed | 2.35× |
| SMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.52× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | none needed | 2.65× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Monero (XMR), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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