The best indicator for Monero (XMR)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Monero (XMR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Monero (XMR) over ~8.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 29.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Monero (XMR) — beating buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 41.2% | 0.86 | -50.1% | 50.0% | 70 | 29.9% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 32.5% | 0.83 | -69.4% | 51.3% | 659 | 24.7% |
| 3 | Morning Star ✓ | Weekly | 28.9% | 0.82 | -60.0% | 62.5% | 16 | 17.7% |
| 4 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 29.9% | 0.81 | -53.6% | 51.2% | 451 | 22.0% |
| 5 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Weekly | 28.2% | 0.73 | -74.6% | 53.3% | 15 | 17.0% |
| 6 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 26.5% | 0.71 | -72.4% | 40.0% | 85 | 18.6% |
| 7 | Tweezer Bottom ✓ | Daily | 19.0% | 0.7 | -63.7% | 43.1% | 109 | 11.2% |
| 8 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.67 | -38.3% | 56.2% | 16 | 7.9% |
| 9 | FRAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 23.9% | 0.67 | -65.0% | 40.5% | 37 | 12.7% |
| 10 | Coral Trend ✓ | Daily | 22.8% | 0.65 | -71.6% | 49.3% | 69 | 14.9% |
| 11 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Weekly | 23.3% | 0.65 | -75.8% | 66.7% | 18 | 12.1% |
| 12 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 23.5% | 0.65 | -78.8% | 40.9% | 22 | 12.3% |
| 13 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 24.3% | 0.65 | -70.7% | 46.7% | 90 | 13.1% |
| 14 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 20.7% | 0.64 | -68.0% | 52.1% | 491 | 12.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Monero (XMR), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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