The best indicator for Official Trump (TRUMP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Official Trump (TRUMP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Official Trump (TRUMP) stopped updating on 2026-02-18
Our price source has returned nothing for TRUMP-USD in 206 days. That usually means the ticker was delisted or renamed — several assets on this page type have been, and the old symbol simply stops. We are not showing key levels, because the last close we hold (0.0003, 2026-02-18) is not a current price and should not be read as one.
The backtest results below are unaffected — they describe the history that does exist, and they are what this page is for.
MA Envelope
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Official Trump (TRUMP) over ~7.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 169.5% CAGR.
Official Trump (TRUMP) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Official Trump (TRUMP) — trailing buy-and-hold by 21.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 123.7% | 1.16 | -99.9% | 46.9% | 32 | 169.5% |
| 2 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 331.2% | 1.1 | -91.1% | 56.3% | 119 | 367.8% |
| 3 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | -44.8% | 1.09 | -100.0% | 41.8% | 67 | -8.1% |
| 4 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 334.8% | 1.09 | -93.4% | 58.3% | 115 | 371.5% |
| 5 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 128.2% | 1.05 | -99.5% | 52.3% | 130 | 164.8% |
| 6 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | -6.8% | 1.03 | -99.8% | 65.0% | 40 | 29.8% |
| 7 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | -62.5% | 1.02 | -100.0% | 37.5% | 16 | -25.9% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 161.9% | 1.01 | -83.8% | 50.8% | 59 | 207.6% |
| 9 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 11.7% | 0.99 | -99.6% | 51.4% | 37 | 48.4% |
| 10 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | -33.3% | 0.97 | -99.7% | 33.3% | 33 | 3.3% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 1536.7% | 0.97 | -95.7% | 53.3% | 199 | 1573.4% |
| 12 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Daily | 68.7% | 0.96 | -100.0% | 43.0% | 449 | 105.3% |
| 13 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 1012.4% | 0.93 | -98.4% | 56.1% | 114 | 1049.0% |
| 14 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 264.1% | 0.9 | -98.6% | 58.3% | 36 | 300.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Official Trump (TRUMP)
12 of 389 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Official Trump (TRUMP) outright. Another 0 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 0 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | none needed | 1.07× |
| B-Xtrender | 1 | none needed | 1.07× |
| Accumulation Swing Index | 1 | none needed | 1.05× |
| Swing Index | 1 | none needed | 1.05× |
| FRAMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | none needed | 1.13× |
| Ultimate Osc (4,8,16) | 1 | none needed | 1.19× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Official Trump (TRUMP), MA Envelope on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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