The best indicator for Toncoin
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Toncoin history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Toncoin over ~7.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 31.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 44.3% | 0.9 | -42.2% | 35.7% | 98 | 31.8% |
| 2 | Schaff Trend Cycle ✓ | Daily | 20.3% | 0.88 | -26.1% | 43.6% | 55 | 7.8% |
| 3 | KDJ | Daily | 43.5% | 0.82 | -57.2% | 37.5% | 144 | 31.0% |
| 4 | Center of Gravity | Daily | 42.8% | 0.81 | -74.8% | 36.3% | 204 | 30.3% |
| 5 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross | Daily | 42.4% | 0.81 | -64.5% | 38.1% | 126 | 29.8% |
| 6 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Daily | 38.8% | 0.8 | -60.2% | 34.2% | 146 | 26.2% |
| 7 | Keltner 10 (x1.5) ✓ | Daily | 36.2% | 0.8 | -27.8% | 43.6% | 39 | 23.7% |
| 8 | Range Filter ✓ | Daily | 36.7% | 0.79 | -46.3% | 45.6% | 90 | 24.2% |
| 9 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Daily | 39.4% | 0.78 | -62.0% | 42.2% | 102 | 26.9% |
| 10 | Stoch RSI (fast) | Daily | 39.4% | 0.78 | -70.1% | 39.7% | 184 | 26.9% |
| 11 | Parabolic SAR (fast) | Daily | 41.0% | 0.78 | -58.8% | 41.3% | 109 | 28.5% |
| 12 | Accumulation Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 38.6% | 0.76 | -72.8% | 42.3% | 385 | 26.0% |
| 13 | Swing Index ✓ | Daily | 38.6% | 0.76 | -72.8% | 42.3% | 385 | 26.0% |
| 14 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 41.4% | 0.76 | -56.0% | 41.4% | 29 | 17.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Toncoin, Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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