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The best indicator for Toncoin

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Toncoin history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

No longer trading in our data

Toncoin stopped updating on 2026-07-10

Our price source has returned nothing for TON11419-USD in 64 days. That usually means the ticker was delisted or renamed — several assets on this page type have been, and the old symbol simply stops. We are not showing key levels, because the last close we hold (1.6160, 2026-07-10) is not a current price and should not be read as one.

The backtest results below are unaffected — they describe the history that does exist, and they are what this page is for.

Volatility · Daily

Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Toncoin over ~7.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 31.8% CAGR.

44.3%
CAGR
0.9
Sharpe
-42.2%
Max DD
35.7%
Win rate
1.69
Profit factor
+31.8%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Toncoin on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

MIXED
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break
+31.8% · Sharpe 0.9
Weekly
Fractal Adaptive MA
+17.4% · Sharpe 0.76
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break Daily44.3%0.9-42.2%35.7%9831.8%
2Schaff Trend Cycle Daily20.3%0.88-26.1%43.6%557.8%
3KDJDaily43.5%0.82-57.2%37.5%14431.0%
4Center of GravityDaily42.8%0.81-74.8%36.3%20430.3%
5FRAMA 10/30 CrossDaily42.4%0.81-64.5%38.1%12629.8%
6B-Xtrender Daily38.8%0.8-60.2%34.2%14626.2%
7Keltner 10 (x1.5) Daily36.2%0.8-27.8%43.6%3923.7%
8Range Filter Daily36.7%0.79-46.3%45.6%9024.2%
9Zero-Lag LSMA Daily39.4%0.78-62.0%42.2%10226.9%
10Stoch RSI (fast)Daily39.4%0.78-70.1%39.7%18426.9%
11Parabolic SAR (fast)Daily41.0%0.78-58.8%41.3%10928.5%
12Accumulation Swing Index Daily38.6%0.76-72.8%42.3%38526.0%
13Swing Index Daily38.6%0.76-72.8%42.3%38526.0%
14Fractal Adaptive MA Weekly41.4%0.76-56.0%41.4%2917.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Toncoin lost money across the out-of-sample window in 298 of 298 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Toncoin, Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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