The best indicator for Palladium (PA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Palladium (PA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Positive Volume Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Palladium (PA) over ~25.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.5% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Palladium (PA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.55 | -54.9% | 45.7% | 46 | 6.5% |
| 2 | CCI (50) ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.51 | -67.7% | 35.6% | 194 | 5.4% |
| 3 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.5 | -66.3% | 53.3% | 15 | 5.4% |
| 4 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.5 | -65.6% | 46.1% | 705 | 5.1% |
| 5 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.49 | -70.4% | 45.5% | 508 | 5.1% |
| 6 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.49 | -60.2% | 50.0% | 24 | 4.9% |
| 7 | SMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.49 | -59.2% | 70.0% | 20 | 5.3% |
| 8 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.48 | -51.7% | 55.6% | 27 | 4.2% |
| 9 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.47 | -57.9% | 38.6% | 101 | 3.3% |
| 10 | KDJ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.47 | -70.3% | 46.1% | 633 | 3.9% |
| 11 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.46 | -67.7% | 38.2% | 272 | 3.6% |
| 12 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.4% | 0.46 | -69.3% | 34.2% | 161 | 3.5% |
| 13 | WMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.46 | -62.0% | 60.0% | 15 | 4.0% |
| 14 | Awesome Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 10.1% | 0.46 | -54.7% | 48.1% | 27 | 4.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Palladium (PA), Positive Volume Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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