The best indicator for Cocoa (CC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Cocoa (CC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
DeMarker
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Cocoa (CC) over ~26.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 5.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Cocoa (CC) — beating buy-and-hold by 2.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.65 | -45.5% | 71.7% | 92 | 5.9% |
| 2 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.59 | -51.5% | 44.9% | 274 | 5.9% |
| 3 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.58 | -64.6% | 82.8% | 87 | 4.7% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.56 | -51.7% | 72.3% | 141 | 4.4% |
| 5 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.54 | -70.9% | 74.1% | 108 | 4.4% |
| 6 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.52 | -67.2% | 79.7% | 59 | 3.5% |
| 7 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.51 | -69.7% | 80.5% | 77 | 3.5% |
| 8 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.49 | -49.2% | 71.4% | 140 | 2.3% |
| 9 | Stochastic Momentum Index | Daily | 7.6% | 0.47 | -60.5% | 66.4% | 131 | 1.7% |
| 10 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 8.4% | 0.45 | -61.1% | 43.9% | 515 | 2.5% |
| 11 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.42 | -53.5% | 45.4% | 388 | 1.6% |
| 12 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.41 | -50.1% | 76.7% | 43 | 1.1% |
| 13 | Percentage Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.41 | -55.1% | 42.0% | 250 | 1.5% |
| 14 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.41 | -51.5% | 45.4% | 668 | 1.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Cocoa (CC), DeMarker on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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