The best indicator for Cocoa (CC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Cocoa (CC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Cocoa (CC) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
DeMarker
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Cocoa (CC) over ~26.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR.
Cocoa (CC) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Cocoa (CC) — beating buy-and-hold by 2.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.64 | -45.5% | 71.0% | 93 | 4.2% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.6 | -51.7% | 72.7% | 143 | 4.1% |
| 3 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.6 | -51.5% | 44.6% | 278 | 5.1% |
| 4 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.58 | -64.6% | 82.8% | 87 | 3.3% |
| 5 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.53 | -70.9% | 73.4% | 109 | 2.8% |
| 6 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.52 | -69.7% | 81.8% | 77 | 2.5% |
| 7 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.51 | -67.2% | 79.7% | 59 | 2.2% |
| 8 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.5 | -60.5% | 66.9% | 133 | 1.0% |
| 9 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.5 | -61.1% | 43.7% | 519 | 2.6% |
| 10 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.49 | -49.2% | 71.1% | 142 | 1.1% |
| 11 | Accelerator Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 8.1% | 0.44 | -53.5% | 45.0% | 393 | 0.8% |
| 12 | Volume Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.44 | -46.3% | 53.4% | 103 | -1.1% |
| 13 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.43 | -51.5% | 45.3% | 677 | 0.6% |
| 14 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.43 | -52.5% | 45.6% | 465 | 0.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Cocoa (CC)
101 of 685 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Cocoa (CC) outright. Another 90 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 158 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.1× | 2.05× |
| Aroon | 2 | none needed | 1.87× |
| Force Index | 2 | none needed | 1.92× |
| MA Envelope | 2 | none needed | 1.52× |
| Aroon Oscillator | 2 | none needed | 1.87× |
| SMA 100 Trend | 2 | none needed | 2.09× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Cocoa (CC), DeMarker on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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