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The best indicator for Polygon

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Polygon history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling LONG right now — Stochastic (10,3) (Daily) has been long for 1 bars. Signal as of 2025-03-24.
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No longer trading in our data

Polygon stopped updating on 2025-03-24

Our price source has returned nothing for MATIC-USD in 537 days. That usually means the ticker was delisted or renamed — several assets on this page type have been, and the old symbol simply stops. We are not showing key levels, because the last close we hold (0.2164, 2025-03-24) is not a current price and should not be read as one.

The backtest results below are unaffected — they describe the history that does exist, and they are what this page is for.

Momentum · Daily

Stochastic (10,3)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Polygon over ~8.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 41.8% CAGR.

99.3%
CAGR
1.2
Sharpe
-70.8%
Max DD
46.0%
Win rate
2.37
Profit factor
+41.8%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Polygon on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Stochastic (10,3)
+41.8% · Sharpe 1.2
Weekly
Stochastic (10,3)
+22.9% · Sharpe 1.17
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Stochastic (10,3) Daily99.3%1.2-70.8%46.0%25041.8%
2Perfect Trend Line Daily102.0%1.18-75.2%45.1%25744.5%
3Center of GravityDaily93.1%1.17-62.2%46.3%25735.6%
4Ehlers Cyber Cycle Daily99.0%1.17-74.8%43.3%21741.5%
5Stochastic (10,3) Weekly115.0%1.17-79.3%41.4%2922.9%
6Cutler's RSIWeekly119.3%1.16-65.7%40.0%1527.3%
7ROC (14)Weekly119.3%1.16-65.7%40.0%1527.3%
8CMO (14)Weekly119.3%1.16-65.7%40.0%1527.3%
9Chande Forecast Osc. Daily94.8%1.15-59.0%46.4%23537.3%
10Stochastic Fast (5,3) Daily93.1%1.15-72.8%46.1%28035.6%
11Andean Oscillator Daily90.8%1.14-69.6%51.6%3133.3%
12Stochastic Fast (5,3) Weekly101.2%1.14-65.7%52.9%349.1%
13Zero-Lag MACD Daily82.1%1.12-63.3%43.1%17424.6%
14Supertrend (7,3) Daily90.9%1.12-69.3%60.9%2333.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Polygon lost money across the out-of-sample window in 312 of 312 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Polygon, Stochastic (10,3) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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