The best indicator for Polygon
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Polygon history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic (10,3)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Polygon over ~8.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 41.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 99.3% | 1.2 | -70.8% | 46.0% | 250 | 41.8% |
| 2 | Perfect Trend Line ✓ | Daily | 102.0% | 1.18 | -75.2% | 45.1% | 257 | 44.5% |
| 3 | Center of Gravity | Daily | 93.1% | 1.17 | -62.2% | 46.3% | 257 | 35.6% |
| 4 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Daily | 99.0% | 1.17 | -74.8% | 43.3% | 217 | 41.5% |
| 5 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 115.0% | 1.17 | -79.3% | 41.4% | 29 | 22.9% |
| 6 | Cutler's RSI | Weekly | 119.3% | 1.16 | -65.7% | 40.0% | 15 | 27.3% |
| 7 | ROC (14) | Weekly | 119.3% | 1.16 | -65.7% | 40.0% | 15 | 27.3% |
| 8 | CMO (14) | Weekly | 119.3% | 1.16 | -65.7% | 40.0% | 15 | 27.3% |
| 9 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 94.8% | 1.15 | -59.0% | 46.4% | 235 | 37.3% |
| 10 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Daily | 93.1% | 1.15 | -72.8% | 46.1% | 280 | 35.6% |
| 11 | Andean Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 90.8% | 1.14 | -69.6% | 51.6% | 31 | 33.3% |
| 12 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Weekly | 101.2% | 1.14 | -65.7% | 52.9% | 34 | 9.1% |
| 13 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Daily | 82.1% | 1.12 | -63.3% | 43.1% | 174 | 24.6% |
| 14 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Daily | 90.9% | 1.12 | -69.3% | 60.9% | 23 | 33.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Polygon, Stochastic (10,3) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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