Home / Assets / Lighter (LIT)
Crypto

The best indicator for Lighter (LIT)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lighter (LIT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling LONG right now — MA Envelope (Daily) has been long for 23 bars. Signal as of 2025-06-11.
Live screener
No longer trading in our data

Lighter (LIT) stopped updating on 2025-06-11

Our price source has returned nothing for LIT-USD in 458 days. That usually means the ticker was delisted or renamed — several assets on this page type have been, and the old symbol simply stops. We are not showing key levels, because the last close we hold (0.0001, 2025-06-11) is not a current price and should not be read as one.

The backtest results below are unaffected — they describe the history that does exist, and they are what this page is for.

Mean Reversion · Daily

MA Envelope

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lighter (LIT) over ~8.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1547.2% CAGR.

1491.8%
CAGR
1.45
Sharpe
-97.1%
Max DD
57.9%
Win rate
2.3
Profit factor
+1547.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

Lighter (LIT) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

MIXED
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

QQEFisher Transform

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lighter (LIT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

-59.6%
CAGR
0.59
Sharpe
36.9%
Win rate
214
Trades
-4.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
MA Envelope
+1547.2% · Sharpe 1.45
Weekly
MA Envelope
+275.4% · Sharpe 0.98
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1MA Envelope Daily1491.8%1.45-97.1%57.9%1331547.2%
2Projection Bands Daily469.4%1.28-96.2%64.7%85524.8%
3Fibonacci Pivots Daily1282.0%1.27-89.8%49.7%3681337.4%
4Pivot Points (Standard) Daily746.4%1.26-98.0%49.4%320801.8%
5Murrey Math Lines Daily267.3%1.15-96.5%66.7%27322.7%
6Camarilla Pivots Daily1040.7%1.12-89.0%50.0%4981096.1%
7Demand Index Daily130.3%1.11-99.7%62.5%112185.7%
8Williams %R Daily6.6%1.01-99.2%54.0%5062.0%
9Connors RSI Daily260.3%1.01-96.4%57.1%91315.7%
10VWAP Bands Daily365.2%1.01-95.4%55.0%40420.6%
11MA Envelope Weekly206.4%0.98-97.0%52.6%19275.4%
12Pivot Points (Standard) Weekly171.3%0.95-88.5%58.3%48240.2%
13Stochastic Daily-49.7%0.92-99.9%70.0%305.7%
14QQE Daily-76.9%0.92-100.0%34.1%126-21.5%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What leverage would it take to beat buy & hold?

The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Lighter (LIT) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 335 of 335 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that

What this means

For Lighter (LIT), MA Envelope on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

More crypto

Free flip alert

Get alerted when Lighter’s signal flips

We track Lighter daily. Its backtested best indicator, MA Envelope (Daily), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.