The best indicator for Lighter (LIT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lighter (LIT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
MA Envelope
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lighter (LIT) over ~8.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1547.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lighter (LIT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 1491.8% | 1.45 | -97.1% | 57.9% | 133 | 1547.2% |
| 2 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 469.4% | 1.28 | -96.2% | 64.7% | 85 | 524.8% |
| 3 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 1282.0% | 1.27 | -89.8% | 49.7% | 368 | 1337.4% |
| 4 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 746.4% | 1.26 | -98.0% | 49.4% | 320 | 801.8% |
| 5 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 267.3% | 1.15 | -96.5% | 66.7% | 27 | 322.7% |
| 6 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 1040.7% | 1.12 | -89.0% | 50.0% | 498 | 1096.1% |
| 7 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 130.3% | 1.11 | -99.7% | 62.5% | 112 | 185.7% |
| 8 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 1.01 | -99.2% | 54.0% | 50 | 62.0% |
| 9 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 260.3% | 1.01 | -96.4% | 57.1% | 91 | 315.7% |
| 10 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Daily | 365.2% | 1.01 | -95.4% | 55.0% | 40 | 420.6% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 206.4% | 0.98 | -97.0% | 52.6% | 19 | 275.4% |
| 12 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 171.3% | 0.95 | -88.5% | 58.3% | 48 | 240.2% |
| 13 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -49.7% | 0.92 | -99.9% | 70.0% | 30 | 5.7% |
| 14 | QQE ✓ | Daily | -76.9% | 0.92 | -100.0% | 34.1% | 126 | -21.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Lighter (LIT), MA Envelope on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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