The best indicator for Hyperliquid (HYPE)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hyperliquid (HYPE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX Strong Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hyperliquid (HYPE) over ~5.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 125.5% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Hyperliquid (HYPE) — beating buy-and-hold by 113.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX Strong Trend ✓ | Daily | 34.3% | 0.78 | -94.9% | 31.6% | 19 | 125.5% |
| 2 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.5% | 0.78 | -96.0% | 44.0% | 25 | 108.7% |
| 3 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.84 | -91.3% | 38.5% | 13 | 121.7% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.7 | -94.1% | 23.1% | 26 | 101.8% |
| 5 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Daily | 2.8% | 0.69 | -98.9% | 30.4% | 23 | 94.0% |
| 6 | Range Filter ✓ | Daily | 53.7% | 0.68 | -66.4% | 36.1% | 36 | 144.9% |
| 7 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 42.9% | 0.66 | -66.3% | 47.6% | 21 | 134.1% |
| 8 | Acceleration Bands ✓ | Daily | 43.8% | 0.63 | -70.0% | 26.3% | 19 | 135.0% |
| 9 | Three White Soldiers | Daily | 23.5% | 0.63 | -89.2% | 38.1% | 42 | 114.7% |
| 10 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | -10.1% | 0.63 | -99.4% | 38.4% | 73 | 81.1% |
| 11 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Daily | -20.2% | 0.62 | -98.3% | 27.1% | 59 | 71.0% |
| 12 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Daily | -31.8% | 0.62 | -99.4% | 31.1% | 90 | 59.4% |
| 13 | Median MA | Daily | 30.1% | 0.59 | -80.4% | 42.0% | 50 | 121.3% |
| 14 | ALMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | -20.0% | 0.59 | -99.0% | 20.5% | 44 | 71.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hyperliquid (HYPE), ADX Strong Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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