The best indicator for The Graph
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real The Graph history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Fibonacci Pivots
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for The Graph over ~2.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 749.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivot Points (Standard) | Daily | 2766.5% | 1.73 | -74.9% | 56.1% | 98 | 2815.4% |
| 2 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 700.3% | 1.59 | -93.9% | 54.3% | 105 | 749.3% |
| 3 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 410.6% | 1.53 | -99.2% | 52.1% | 144 | 459.5% |
| 4 | MA Envelope | Daily | 1092.7% | 1.51 | -96.9% | 60.0% | 35 | 1141.6% |
| 5 | Half Trend ✓ | Daily | 50.6% | 1.4 | -99.1% | 37.5% | 16 | 99.5% |
| 6 | HalfTrend ✓ | Daily | 38.1% | 1.39 | -99.1% | 43.8% | 16 | 87.0% |
| 7 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 1.38 | -98.9% | 41.2% | 17 | 70.4% |
| 8 | Projection Bands | Daily | 99.6% | 1.27 | -96.9% | 68.4% | 19 | 148.5% |
| 9 | Price Volume Trend | Daily | -67.4% | 1.26 | -99.2% | 43.8% | 16 | -18.5% |
| 10 | Twiggs Money Flow | Daily | -63.8% | 1.26 | -99.7% | 52.6% | 19 | -14.9% |
| 11 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 464.0% | 1.23 | -87.0% | 55.1% | 49 | 512.9% |
| 12 | Supertrend (7,2) | Daily | -32.0% | 1.25 | -99.5% | 35.7% | 14 | 16.9% |
| 13 | McGinley Dynamic | Daily | -93.8% | 1.15 | -100.0% | 31.8% | 22 | -44.9% |
| 14 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 53.8% | 1.15 | -92.4% | 59.3% | 27 | 102.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For The Graph, Fibonacci Pivots on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.