The best indicator for Filecoin (FIL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Filecoin (FIL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
MA Envelope
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Filecoin (FIL) over ~12.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 81.4% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Filecoin (FIL) — beating buy-and-hold by 32.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 61.6% | 0.93 | -97.2% | 60.1% | 183 | 81.4% |
| 2 | Pivot Points (Standard) | Daily | 44.1% | 0.85 | -94.4% | 52.3% | 419 | 63.9% |
| 3 | Camarilla Pivots | Daily | 47.8% | 0.85 | -97.5% | 48.7% | 655 | 67.6% |
| 4 | Fibonacci Pivots | Daily | 38.0% | 0.78 | -97.7% | 52.1% | 457 | 57.9% |
| 5 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.68 | -97.9% | 61.8% | 110 | 50.3% |
| 6 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | Daily | 26.6% | 0.68 | -93.2% | 44.4% | 27 | 46.5% |
| 7 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 27.6% | 0.65 | -94.4% | 59.6% | 141 | 47.4% |
| 8 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.62 | -91.1% | 39.3% | 28 | 34.4% |
| 9 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.61 | -93.3% | 39.3% | 28 | 35.9% |
| 10 | Lorentzian Classification | Daily | 23.5% | 0.6 | -99.2% | 46.2% | 485 | 43.3% |
| 11 | KDJ ✓ | Weekly | 20.6% | 0.58 | -79.0% | 38.5% | 39 | 52.2% |
| 12 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Weekly | 17.9% | 0.58 | -79.0% | 40.0% | 55 | 49.6% |
| 13 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.57 | -73.6% | 32.9% | 79 | 35.9% |
| 14 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.54 | -89.0% | 56.5% | 23 | 49.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Filecoin (FIL), MA Envelope on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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