The best indicator for Compound
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Compound history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Compound over ~2.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.7% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) ✓ | Daily | -73.4% | 1.44 | -99.8% | 20.0% | 40 | 9.7% |
| 2 | Accumulation/Distribution ✓ | Daily | -98.3% | 1.34 | -100.0% | 34.8% | 23 | -15.2% |
| 3 | Chaikin Oscillator ✓ | Daily | -96.8% | 1.34 | -100.0% | 14.3% | 21 | -13.7% |
| 4 | A/D Oscillator ✓ | Daily | -96.8% | 1.34 | -100.0% | 14.3% | 21 | -13.7% |
| 5 | Delta Volume (CVD proxy) ✓ | Daily | -98.4% | 1.34 | -100.0% | 22.7% | 22 | -15.4% |
| 6 | Hammer ✓ | Daily | 296.4% | 1.22 | -99.3% | 33.3% | 24 | 379.5% |
| 7 | Ehlers Relative Vigor ✓ | Daily | 24.5% | 1.16 | -99.9% | 17.9% | 56 | 107.6% |
| 8 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Daily | -98.9% | 1.12 | -100.0% | 15.8% | 19 | -15.8% |
| 9 | Premier Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -99.9% | 1.08 | -100.0% | 31.2% | 16 | -16.8% |
| 10 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Daily | -94.0% | 1.04 | -100.0% | 13.0% | 54 | -10.9% |
| 11 | Stochastic Slow (21,5) ✓ | Daily | -100.0% | 1.02 | -100.0% | 9.5% | 42 | -16.9% |
| 12 | Stochastic (20,5) ✓ | Daily | -100.0% | 1.01 | -100.0% | 11.1% | 45 | -16.9% |
| 13 | Bullish Engulfing ✓ | Daily | -97.4% | 0.88 | -100.0% | 16.7% | 24 | -14.3% |
| 14 | Ehlers Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -89.3% | 0.91 | -99.9% | 21.4% | 14 | -6.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Compound, Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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