The best indicator for Zcash (ZEC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Zcash (ZEC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Zcash (ZEC) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
WMA 30 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Zcash (ZEC) over ~12.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 48.7% CAGR.
Zcash (ZEC) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Zcash (ZEC) — beating buy-and-hold by 26.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 62.7% | 1.05 | -64.1% | 40.0% | 130 | 48.7% |
| 2 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 57.7% | 1.04 | -79.6% | 43.6% | 360 | 43.7% |
| 3 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Daily | 58.5% | 1.03 | -68.5% | 40.0% | 80 | 44.5% |
| 4 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 87.2% | 1.01 | -68.8% | 46.9% | 32 | 67.7% |
| 5 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 55.6% | 0.97 | -85.8% | 48.3% | 58 | 41.6% |
| 6 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 54.7% | 0.96 | -81.2% | 47.7% | 348 | 40.7% |
| 7 | Elder Impulse ✓ | Weekly | 76.1% | 0.96 | -43.6% | 38.9% | 36 | 56.6% |
| 8 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 51.8% | 0.95 | -76.8% | 43.8% | 105 | 37.8% |
| 9 | HLC Trend ✓ | Daily | 53.0% | 0.95 | -72.8% | 42.3% | 156 | 38.9% |
| 10 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Daily | 51.2% | 0.94 | -71.0% | 45.7% | 335 | 37.2% |
| 11 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 51.7% | 0.93 | -70.8% | 52.2% | 67 | 37.7% |
| 12 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 50.3% | 0.93 | -69.7% | 34.5% | 119 | 36.3% |
| 13 | CCI (30) ✓ | Daily | 51.6% | 0.93 | -77.4% | 40.6% | 96 | 37.5% |
| 14 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 50.3% | 0.92 | -88.2% | 46.4% | 56 | 36.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Zcash (ZEC)
121 of 474 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Zcash (ZEC) outright. Another 179 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 160 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heikin-Ashi Trend | 2 | none needed | 1.98× |
| Elder Impulse | 2 | none needed | 2.67× |
| Ehlers SuperSmoother | 2 | none needed | 1.91× |
| Chande Forecast Osc. | 2 | none needed | 2.61× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 1.72× |
| Stochastic Fast (5,3) | 2 | none needed | 2.0× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Zcash (ZEC), WMA 30 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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