The best indicator for Zcash (ZEC)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Zcash (ZEC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Fractal Adaptive MA
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Zcash (ZEC) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 45.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Zcash (ZEC) — beating buy-and-hold by 26.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Daily | 49.8% | 0.96 | -79.6% | 42.8% | 348 | 45.9% |
| 2 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 52.1% | 0.95 | -64.1% | 39.7% | 126 | 48.1% |
| 3 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Daily | 48.0% | 0.93 | -68.5% | 38.5% | 78 | 44.1% |
| 4 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 50.4% | 0.92 | -81.2% | 47.0% | 336 | 46.4% |
| 5 | Elder Impulse ✓ | Weekly | 70.6% | 0.92 | -43.6% | 38.2% | 34 | 66.0% |
| 6 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 71.1% | 0.92 | -68.8% | 45.2% | 31 | 66.5% |
| 7 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 71.1% | 0.92 | -68.8% | 45.2% | 31 | 66.5% |
| 8 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Daily | 46.8% | 0.89 | -85.8% | 49.1% | 55 | 42.8% |
| 9 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Daily | 46.4% | 0.89 | -71.0% | 45.1% | 324 | 42.4% |
| 10 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Daily | 44.8% | 0.87 | -70.8% | 51.6% | 64 | 40.9% |
| 11 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 43.3% | 0.87 | -76.8% | 43.6% | 101 | 39.3% |
| 12 | Derivative Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 37.9% | 0.86 | -48.1% | 47.1% | 208 | 33.9% |
| 13 | Deviation-Scaled MA ✓ | Daily | 43.1% | 0.86 | -77.8% | 42.5% | 313 | 39.2% |
| 14 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 42.7% | 0.86 | -69.7% | 33.6% | 113 | 38.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Zcash (ZEC), Fractal Adaptive MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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