The best indicator for Stellar (XLM)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stellar (XLM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Jurik MA (approx.)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stellar (XLM) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 57.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Stellar (XLM) — beating buy-and-hold by 26.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 71.7% | 1.11 | -72.5% | 40.8% | 262 | 57.8% |
| 2 | Super Smoother (Ehlers) ✓ | Daily | 71.1% | 1.11 | -58.8% | 37.7% | 162 | 57.2% |
| 3 | Woodies CCI ✓ | Daily | 71.0% | 1.11 | -60.5% | 43.8% | 208 | 57.1% |
| 4 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 63.0% | 1.04 | -61.1% | 40.7% | 182 | 49.1% |
| 5 | Disparity Index ✓ | Daily | 64.8% | 1.03 | -57.8% | 39.5% | 190 | 50.8% |
| 6 | J_TPO ✓ | Daily | 62.6% | 1.03 | -51.4% | 36.4% | 140 | 48.6% |
| 7 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 56.6% | 1.01 | -62.2% | 45.7% | 105 | 42.6% |
| 8 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Daily | 58.4% | 0.99 | -67.7% | 41.9% | 253 | 44.5% |
| 9 | Arnaud Legoux MA ✓ | Daily | 56.5% | 0.97 | -70.2% | 36.6% | 273 | 42.6% |
| 10 | Chande Momentum Osc. ✓ | Daily | 56.6% | 0.96 | -63.6% | 38.8% | 214 | 42.7% |
| 11 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 57.7% | 0.95 | -74.9% | 40.9% | 323 | 43.8% |
| 12 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Daily | 55.9% | 0.95 | -66.2% | 41.1% | 192 | 42.0% |
| 13 | TEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 50.1% | 0.95 | -56.0% | 41.6% | 209 | 36.2% |
| 14 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Daily | 56.9% | 0.94 | -74.9% | 38.7% | 111 | 42.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Stellar (XLM), Jurik MA (approx.) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get alerted when Stellar’s signal flips
We track Stellar daily. Its backtested best indicator, Jurik MA (approx.) (Daily), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.