The best indicator for Stellar (XLM)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stellar (XLM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Jurik MA (approx.)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stellar (XLM) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 57.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Stellar (XLM) — beating buy-and-hold by 26.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Daily | 71.7% | 1.11 | -72.5% | 40.8% | 262 | 57.8% |
| 2 | Exponential Hull MA ✓ | Daily | 63.0% | 1.04 | -61.1% | 40.7% | 182 | 49.1% |
| 3 | Disparity Index ✓ | Daily | 64.8% | 1.03 | -57.8% | 39.5% | 190 | 50.8% |
| 4 | J_TPO ✓ | Daily | 62.6% | 1.03 | -51.4% | 36.4% | 140 | 48.6% |
| 5 | Impulse MACD ✓ | Daily | 56.6% | 1.01 | -62.2% | 45.7% | 105 | 42.6% |
| 6 | Holt Double-Exp MA ✓ | Daily | 58.4% | 0.99 | -67.7% | 41.9% | 253 | 44.5% |
| 7 | Arnaud Legoux MA ✓ | Daily | 56.5% | 0.97 | -70.2% | 36.6% | 273 | 42.6% |
| 8 | Chande Momentum Osc. ✓ | Daily | 56.6% | 0.96 | -63.6% | 38.8% | 214 | 42.7% |
| 9 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 57.7% | 0.95 | -74.9% | 40.9% | 323 | 43.8% |
| 10 | Gaussian Channel ✓ | Daily | 55.9% | 0.95 | -66.2% | 41.1% | 192 | 42.0% |
| 11 | TEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 50.1% | 0.95 | -56.0% | 41.6% | 209 | 36.2% |
| 12 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Daily | 56.9% | 0.94 | -74.9% | 38.7% | 111 | 42.9% |
| 13 | Vortex (7) ✓ | Daily | 55.0% | 0.94 | -75.1% | 38.7% | 225 | 41.0% |
| 14 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 51.9% | 0.94 | -64.9% | 41.9% | 191 | 38.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Stellar (XLM), Jurik MA (approx.) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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