The best indicator for Xcel Energy (XEL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Xcel Energy (XEL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Xcel Energy (XEL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
McGinley 30 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Xcel Energy (XEL) over ~53.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.9% CAGR.
Xcel Energy (XEL) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Xcel Energy (XEL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.67 | -32.5% | 47.6% | 21 | 2.9% |
| 2 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.6 | -40.8% | 52.3% | 327 | -0.8% |
| 3 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.57 | -37.3% | 66.7% | 18 | -0.3% |
| 4 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 9.0% | 0.56 | -44.1% | 26.9% | 52 | 0.7% |
| 5 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.55 | -35.4% | 65.4% | 26 | -0.8% |
| 6 | WMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.55 | -37.5% | 70.6% | 17 | -0.7% |
| 7 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.55 | -32.0% | 73.3% | 15 | -0.7% |
| 8 | SMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.58 | -31.0% | 85.7% | 14 | -0.1% |
| 9 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.54 | -42.6% | 36.8% | 76 | 0.2% |
| 10 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.54 | -29.3% | 50.0% | 22 | -1.0% |
| 11 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.53 | -34.6% | 77.8% | 18 | -1.5% |
| 12 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.53 | -36.4% | 66.7% | 27 | -1.2% |
| 13 | Trendlines with Breaks ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.53 | -44.4% | 66.7% | 15 | -0.9% |
| 14 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.52 | -38.7% | 49.5% | 95 | -0.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Xcel Energy (XEL)
2 of 708 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Xcel Energy (XEL) outright. Another 205 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 380 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorentzian Classification | 1 | none needed | 2.12× |
| Markov Regime | 1 | none needed | 2.81× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 2.33× | 3.84× |
| QQE | — | 1.26× | 2.67× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.35× | 3.92× |
| Even Better Sinewave | — | 1.77× | 2.92× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Xcel Energy (XEL), McGinley 30 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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