The best indicator for A. O. Smith (AOS)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real A. O. Smith (AOS) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
KAMA 10/30 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for A. O. Smith (AOS) over ~42.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for A. O. Smith (AOS) — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.6 | -56.3% | 50.8% | 128 | -0.7% |
| 2 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.6 | -46.3% | 37.7% | 257 | -1.1% |
| 3 | KAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.58 | -51.4% | 38.9% | 432 | -1.2% |
| 4 | EMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.58 | -45.9% | 45.5% | 88 | -1.2% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.57 | -47.8% | 48.2% | 85 | -1.5% |
| 6 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.57 | -49.0% | 37.6% | 630 | 0.5% |
| 7 | Donchian 20 Break ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.57 | -52.4% | 47.1% | 121 | -1.4% |
| 8 | FRAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.57 | -69.4% | 43.5% | 899 | -1.5% |
| 9 | SMC: Break of Structure ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.57 | -49.2% | 48.1% | 129 | -1.5% |
| 10 | EMA Cascade Rider ✓ | Daily | 9.7% | 0.57 | -39.9% | 47.3% | 167 | -2.5% |
| 11 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.56 | -45.6% | 44.3% | 61 | -1.6% |
| 12 | Trend Magic ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.56 | -64.6% | 41.3% | 731 | -1.6% |
| 13 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.56 | -51.1% | 34.8% | 164 | -2.1% |
| 14 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.56 | -49.3% | 49.0% | 102 | -1.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For A. O. Smith (AOS), KAMA 10/30 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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