The best indicator for AES Corporation (AES)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AES Corporation (AES) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where AES Corporation (AES) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Instantaneous Trendline
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AES Corporation (AES) over ~35.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.7% CAGR.
AES Corporation (AES) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for AES Corporation (AES) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instantaneous Trendline ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.66 | -55.7% | 50.8% | 65 | 9.7% |
| 2 | Hull Suite ✓ | Weekly | 14.3% | 0.62 | -48.3% | 48.6% | 35 | 8.4% |
| 3 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.57 | -42.2% | 38.1% | 84 | 5.4% |
| 4 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.57 | -55.1% | 50.0% | 40 | 6.6% |
| 5 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.56 | -49.1% | 57.9% | 19 | 6.4% |
| 6 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.55 | -58.6% | 55.3% | 38 | 6.2% |
| 7 | ROC (20) ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.54 | -54.6% | 52.6% | 78 | 5.9% |
| 8 | Momentum (20) ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.54 | -54.6% | 52.6% | 78 | 5.9% |
| 9 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.53 | -56.0% | 59.4% | 32 | 5.4% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.52 | -60.8% | 43.6% | 78 | 5.2% |
| 11 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.52 | -54.7% | 44.9% | 69 | 5.3% |
| 12 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.52 | -58.8% | 54.1% | 37 | 5.6% |
| 13 | Ehlers Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.52 | -53.7% | 54.1% | 37 | 4.9% |
| 14 | CMO (21) ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.52 | -49.9% | 46.7% | 75 | 5.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on AES Corporation (AES)
10 of 697 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on AES Corporation (AES) outright. Another 132 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 285 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaikin Money Flow | 1 | 1.44× | 2.33× |
| FRAMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | 1.55× | 2.17× |
| Delta Volume (CVD proxy) | 1 | 1.87× | 2.42× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 1.69× |
| TEMA 20/50 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.43× |
| Fisher Transform | 1 | none needed | 2.31× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For AES Corporation (AES), Instantaneous Trendline on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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