The best indicator for Vistra Corp. (VST)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Vistra Corp. (VST) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Gator Oscillator
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Vistra Corp. (VST) over ~9.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 12.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Vistra Corp. (VST) — trailing buy-and-hold by 11.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gator Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 1.07 | -12.9% | 69.8% | 43 | -12.7% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 25.4% | 0.96 | -49.9% | 77.6% | 49 | -5.2% |
| 3 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 22.6% | 0.88 | -48.9% | 78.4% | 37 | -8.0% |
| 4 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 23.7% | 0.84 | -37.2% | 64.0% | 25 | -6.8% |
| 5 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 20.5% | 0.84 | -48.8% | 70.0% | 80 | -10.1% |
| 6 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 21.9% | 0.82 | -33.9% | 57.6% | 33 | -8.1% |
| 7 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.81 | -31.6% | 70.8% | 24 | -11.9% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.81 | -35.1% | 70.8% | 72 | -12.4% |
| 9 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.79 | -50.6% | 38.5% | 39 | -11.4% |
| 10 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.78 | -32.3% | 62.4% | 93 | -12.3% |
| 11 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 23.6% | 0.78 | -50.8% | 54.8% | 31 | -6.4% |
| 12 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 20.4% | 0.77 | -46.8% | 78.1% | 32 | -10.1% |
| 13 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.76 | -35.9% | 46.3% | 41 | -14.8% |
| 14 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.76 | -35.1% | 69.4% | 62 | -14.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Vistra Corp. (VST), Gator Oscillator on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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