The best indicator for Vistra Corp. (VST)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Vistra Corp. (VST) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Vistra Corp. (VST) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Gator Oscillator
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Vistra Corp. (VST) over ~9.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 12.7% CAGR.
Vistra Corp. (VST) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Vistra Corp. (VST) — trailing buy-and-hold by 11.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gator Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 1.07 | -12.9% | 69.8% | 43 | -12.7% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 25.4% | 0.96 | -49.9% | 77.6% | 49 | -5.2% |
| 3 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 22.6% | 0.88 | -48.9% | 78.4% | 37 | -8.0% |
| 4 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 23.7% | 0.84 | -37.2% | 64.0% | 25 | -6.8% |
| 5 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 20.5% | 0.84 | -48.8% | 70.0% | 80 | -10.1% |
| 6 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 21.9% | 0.82 | -33.9% | 57.6% | 33 | -8.1% |
| 7 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.81 | -31.6% | 70.8% | 24 | -11.9% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.81 | -35.1% | 70.8% | 72 | -12.4% |
| 9 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.79 | -50.6% | 38.5% | 39 | -11.4% |
| 10 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.78 | -32.3% | 62.4% | 93 | -12.3% |
| 11 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 23.6% | 0.78 | -50.8% | 54.8% | 31 | -6.4% |
| 12 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 20.4% | 0.77 | -46.8% | 78.1% | 32 | -10.1% |
| 13 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Weekly | 15.2% | 0.76 | -35.9% | 46.3% | 41 | -14.8% |
| 14 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.76 | -35.1% | 69.4% | 62 | -14.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Vistra Corp. (VST)
2 of 395 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Vistra Corp. (VST) outright. Another 174 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 197 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.69× | 2.38× |
| FRAMA 100 Trend | 1 | none needed | 3.51× |
| On-Balance Volume | — | 1.2× | 2.81× |
| Vortex (7) | — | 1.44× | 2.38× |
| Hull MA Trend | — | 1.59× | 2.28× |
| Trend Regularity Adaptive MA | — | 1.04× | 3.4× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Vistra Corp. (VST), Gator Oscillator on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Vistra Corp.’s signal flips
We track Vistra Corp. daily. Its backtested best indicator, Gator Oscillator (Weekly), is flat right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.