The best indicator for TransDigm Group (TDG)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TransDigm Group (TDG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Fibonacci Pivots
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TransDigm Group (TDG) over ~20.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for TransDigm Group (TDG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 20.4% | 1.0 | -52.1% | 61.6% | 159 | -6.9% |
| 2 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.6% | 0.94 | -33.6% | 45.8% | 48 | -8.2% |
| 3 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 17.2% | 0.9 | -52.1% | 59.1% | 132 | -10.2% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 25.0% | 0.89 | -62.6% | 72.7% | 33 | -2.8% |
| 5 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.5% | 0.88 | -39.4% | 44.4% | 27 | -6.9% |
| 6 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.5% | 0.88 | -39.4% | 44.4% | 27 | -6.9% |
| 7 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.5% | 0.88 | -39.4% | 44.4% | 27 | -6.9% |
| 8 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 19.4% | 0.86 | -45.8% | 60.0% | 20 | -8.0% |
| 9 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 22.9% | 0.85 | -62.6% | 57.7% | 26 | -4.9% |
| 10 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 19.2% | 0.85 | -43.4% | 61.1% | 18 | -8.2% |
| 11 | VIDYA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 21.1% | 0.83 | -66.7% | 39.3% | 28 | -6.7% |
| 12 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 23.8% | 0.83 | -62.6% | 22.2% | 18 | -4.0% |
| 13 | VIDYA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 20.6% | 0.82 | -63.7% | 60.0% | 15 | -6.8% |
| 14 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.8% | 0.82 | -28.6% | 67.7% | 31 | -10.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For TransDigm Group (TDG), Fibonacci Pivots on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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