The best indicator for TransDigm Group (TDG)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TransDigm Group (TDG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where TransDigm Group (TDG) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
TRIMA 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TransDigm Group (TDG) over ~20.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.3% CAGR.
TransDigm Group (TDG) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for TransDigm Group (TDG) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.94 | -33.6% | 45.8% | 48 | -7.3% |
| 2 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.94 | -30.2% | 69.0% | 29 | -7.6% |
| 3 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 19.2% | 0.92 | -47.3% | 55.0% | 20 | -7.0% |
| 4 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.1% | 0.92 | -39.4% | 42.3% | 26 | -6.2% |
| 5 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.1% | 0.92 | -39.4% | 42.3% | 26 | -6.2% |
| 6 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 20.1% | 0.92 | -39.4% | 42.3% | 26 | -6.2% |
| 7 | T3 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.4% | 0.9 | -25.3% | 64.0% | 25 | -10.8% |
| 8 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.89 | -43.4% | 55.6% | 18 | -7.6% |
| 9 | ADXR ✓ | Weekly | 16.4% | 0.89 | -27.3% | 81.5% | 27 | -9.8% |
| 10 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 17.2% | 0.89 | -39.7% | 37.5% | 24 | -9.0% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.88 | -27.3% | 84.6% | 26 | -10.2% |
| 12 | SMA 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 17.9% | 0.88 | -39.8% | 53.8% | 39 | -8.3% |
| 13 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.87 | -33.7% | 56.5% | 23 | -11.4% |
| 14 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Weekly | 21.1% | 0.93 | -43.9% | 57.1% | 14 | -5.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on TransDigm Group (TDG)
0 of 623 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on TransDigm Group (TDG) outright. Another 117 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 395 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.3× | 3.79× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.57× | 7.41× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.67× | 3.67× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.75× | 5.39× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.79× | 3.13× |
| MA Envelope | — | 1.9× | 5.23× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For TransDigm Group (TDG), TRIMA 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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