The best indicator for Silver (SI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Silver (SI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Silver (SI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMC: Equal Highs / Lows
On the 1-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Silver (SI) over ~7.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.
Silver (SI) on the 1-hour chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Silver (SI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC: Equal Highs / Lows ✓ | 1-Hour | 14.8% | 1.01 | -19.6% | 70.8% | 24 | -0.2% |
| 2 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 14.3% | 0.92 | -27.1% | 56.5% | 46 | 0.6% |
| 3 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | 4-Hour | 13.2% | 0.88 | -33.4% | 49.8% | 311 | -0.5% |
| 4 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | 4-Hour | 13.2% | 0.88 | -33.4% | 49.8% | 311 | -0.5% |
| 5 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | 1-Hour | 13.3% | 0.86 | -15.9% | 45.2% | 341 | -1.7% |
| 6 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 12.3% | 0.81 | -18.3% | 50.0% | 72 | -1.4% |
| 7 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 12.5% | 0.81 | -24.4% | 55.3% | 47 | -1.2% |
| 8 | Ichimoku Cloud ✓ | 4-Hour | 12.3% | 0.8 | -21.1% | 34.5% | 84 | -1.5% |
| 9 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.5% | 0.79 | -20.7% | 47.4% | 449 | -2.5% |
| 10 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | 4-Hour | 12.2% | 0.79 | -26.3% | 35.7% | 140 | -1.6% |
| 11 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | 4-Hour | 11.6% | 0.77 | -28.3% | 60.6% | 33 | -2.2% |
| 12 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.7% | 0.76 | -26.0% | 42.0% | 100 | -2.3% |
| 13 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 11.3% | 0.76 | -30.5% | 36.4% | 55 | -2.5% |
| 14 | Supertrend (7,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 11.4% | 0.76 | -23.4% | 53.2% | 47 | -2.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Silver (SI)
129 of 1385 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Silver (SI) outright. Another 507 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 494 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 3 | none needed | 2.57× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.36× | 2.54× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | 2 | 1.34× | 3.51× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | 2 | 1.59× | 2.92× |
| KAMA 200 Trend | 2 | 1.77× | 3.93× |
| VIDYA 30 Trend | 2 | 1.77× | 3.18× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Silver (SI), SMC: Equal Highs / Lows on the 1-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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