The best indicator for Silver (SI)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Silver (SI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMC: Equal Highs / Lows
On the 1-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Silver (SI) over ~7.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Silver (SI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC: Equal Highs / Lows ✓ | 1-Hour | 14.8% | 1.01 | -19.6% | 70.8% | 24 | -0.2% |
| 2 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | 1-Hour | 13.3% | 0.86 | -15.9% | 45.2% | 341 | -1.7% |
| 3 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.5% | 0.79 | -20.7% | 47.4% | 449 | -2.5% |
| 4 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.7% | 0.76 | -26.0% | 42.0% | 100 | -2.3% |
| 5 | Donchian 100 Break ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.8% | 0.74 | -35.1% | 53.1% | 32 | -2.1% |
| 6 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | 1-Hour | 6.9% | 0.72 | -15.1% | 71.4% | 28 | -8.1% |
| 7 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.9% | 0.69 | -25.2% | 43.7% | 270 | -4.1% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 11.1% | 0.68 | -24.7% | 40.3% | 119 | -3.9% |
| 9 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 14.0% | 0.68 | -43.0% | 34.3% | 99 | -1.0% |
| 10 | MACD-V ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.1% | 0.67 | -23.6% | 41.5% | 496 | -4.8% |
| 11 | TRIX ✓ | 1-Hour | 9.6% | 0.66 | -20.2% | 43.6% | 346 | -5.3% |
| 12 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 11.3% | 0.66 | -30.2% | 37.8% | 119 | -3.7% |
| 13 | VIDYA 10/30 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.6% | 0.66 | -30.3% | 40.0% | 65 | -4.3% |
| 14 | TRIX (9) ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.1% | 0.65 | -24.5% | 36.7% | 281 | -4.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Silver (SI), SMC: Equal Highs / Lows on the 1-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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