The best indicator for Silver (SI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Silver (SI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Silver (SI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMC: Equal Highs / Lows
On the 1-hour chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Silver (SI) over ~7.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.5% CAGR.
Silver (SI) on the 1-hour chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Silver (SI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMC: Equal Highs / Lows ✓ | 1-Hour | 11.2% | 0.81 | -19.6% | 61.9% | 21 | 0.5% |
| 2 | Know Sure Thing ✓ | 1-Hour | 12.4% | 0.8 | -27.1% | 45.8% | 334 | 1.8% |
| 3 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | 4-Hour | 11.1% | 0.76 | -17.0% | 51.4% | 70 | 1.2% |
| 4 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | 4-Hour | 11.0% | 0.72 | -26.5% | 33.3% | 144 | 1.1% |
| 5 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 10.4% | 0.71 | -22.5% | 33.3% | 69 | 0.4% |
| 6 | Adaptive Supertrend ✓ | 4-Hour | 10.7% | 0.7 | -23.9% | 39.2% | 102 | 0.8% |
| 7 | Supertrend Fast (10,2) ✓ | 4-Hour | 10.2% | 0.69 | -28.2% | 42.0% | 81 | 0.3% |
| 8 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | 4-Hour | 10.2% | 0.69 | -28.3% | 63.3% | 30 | 0.3% |
| 9 | Supertrend (10,2) ✓ | 4-Hour | 10.2% | 0.69 | -28.2% | 42.0% | 81 | 0.3% |
| 10 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | 4-Hour | 8.7% | 0.66 | -29.1% | 78.9% | 57 | -1.3% |
| 11 | LSMA 30 Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 8.0% | 0.65 | -24.6% | 41.9% | 229 | -2.0% |
| 12 | McGinley 10/30 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 10.3% | 0.63 | -24.8% | 37.4% | 123 | -0.4% |
| 13 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | 4-Hour | 8.9% | 0.63 | -32.2% | 32.8% | 58 | -1.0% |
| 14 | Supertrend (20,3) ✓ | 4-Hour | 9.3% | 0.63 | -28.8% | 50.0% | 50 | -0.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Silver (SI)
129 of 1385 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Silver (SI) outright. Another 507 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 494 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 3 | none needed | 2.57× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.36× | 2.54× |
| Ichimoku TK Cross | 2 | 1.34× | 3.51× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | 2 | 1.59× | 2.92× |
| KAMA 200 Trend | 2 | 1.77× | 3.93× |
| VIDYA 30 Trend | 2 | 1.77× | 3.18× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Silver (SI), SMC: Equal Highs / Lows on the 1-hour timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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