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The best indicator for POL (ex-MATIC) (POL)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — VWAP Bands (Daily) is out of the market, as of 2023-10-31.
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Mean Reversion · Daily

VWAP Bands

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) over ~4.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 88.2% CAGR.

69.4%
CAGR
0.91
Sharpe
-57.9%
Max DD
56.0%
Win rate
1.74
Profit factor
+88.2%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

EMA 20/50 CrossVortex

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) — beating buy-and-hold by 71.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

52.2%
CAGR
0.73
Sharpe
36.8%
Win rate
19
Trades
+71.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
VWAP Bands
+88.2% · Sharpe 0.91
Weekly
Camarilla Pivots
+11.8% · Sharpe 0.17
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1VWAP Bands Daily69.4%0.91-57.9%56.0%2588.2%
2MA Envelope Daily45.4%0.76-87.6%50.9%5764.2%
3Connors RSI-2 Daily50.1%0.75-74.6%52.5%6168.8%
4Projection Bands Daily26.8%0.64-84.8%38.1%4245.6%
5Ehlers TrendFlexDaily24.1%0.6-91.9%16.7%1842.9%
6Ichimoku TK Cross Daily29.4%0.59-83.9%35.7%2848.2%
7Williams AlligatorDaily27.8%0.58-78.8%39.0%4146.6%
8ROC (60)Daily21.4%0.57-93.7%27.6%2940.2%
9Connors RSI Daily19.0%0.56-83.6%48.3%6037.8%
10EMA 100 TrendDaily17.9%0.55-94.1%23.8%2136.7%
11KAMA 200 TrendDaily19.9%0.55-89.0%12.5%1638.7%
12Disparity (100)Daily17.9%0.55-94.1%23.8%2136.7%
13Linear Regression SlopeDaily14.5%0.54-93.9%26.7%3033.3%
14Coppock CurveDaily14.3%0.54-95.1%21.4%2833.1%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For POL (ex-MATIC) (POL), VWAP Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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