The best indicator for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
SMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) over ~53.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.44 | -48.3% | 66.7% | 24 | -0.1% |
| 2 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 4.2% | 0.42 | -39.8% | 52.0% | 75 | -2.0% |
| 3 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.41 | -53.3% | 23.4% | 64 | 0.4% |
| 4 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.41 | -50.6% | 42.0% | 69 | -0.6% |
| 5 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.41 | -57.4% | 51.9% | 27 | -0.4% |
| 6 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.4 | -49.4% | 50.0% | 20 | -0.7% |
| 7 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.4 | -49.4% | 43.0% | 79 | -0.9% |
| 8 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 4.3% | 0.39 | -39.1% | 45.0% | 80 | -1.8% |
| 9 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Weekly | 3.0% | 0.39 | -27.5% | 54.1% | 37 | -3.2% |
| 10 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.39 | -54.6% | 37.5% | 48 | -1.2% |
| 11 | Advance Trend Pressure ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.39 | -42.8% | 48.4% | 159 | -0.7% |
| 12 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 4.4% | 0.38 | -39.4% | 46.4% | 140 | -1.7% |
| 13 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.38 | -54.8% | 44.7% | 38 | -1.2% |
| 14 | SMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 4.6% | 0.38 | -54.6% | 43.9% | 57 | -1.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Pinnacle West Capital (PNW), SMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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