The best indicator for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
SMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) over ~53.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.0% CAGR.
Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.44 | -48.3% | 62.5% | 24 | -0.0% |
| 2 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 4.3% | 0.42 | -41.9% | 53.3% | 75 | -1.6% |
| 3 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.41 | -33.0% | 51.2% | 82 | -1.8% |
| 4 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.4 | -53.3% | 23.4% | 64 | 0.4% |
| 5 | CCI (50) ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.4 | -51.1% | 41.4% | 70 | -0.6% |
| 6 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 5.5% | 0.4 | -56.9% | 51.9% | 27 | -0.5% |
| 7 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.4 | -42.7% | 39.1% | 69 | -0.7% |
| 8 | Relative Volatility Index ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.39 | -56.7% | 50.0% | 160 | -1.0% |
| 9 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.39 | -52.2% | 50.0% | 90 | -0.6% |
| 10 | CCI (100) ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.39 | -51.7% | 37.0% | 46 | -1.0% |
| 11 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.39 | -52.2% | 50.0% | 90 | -0.6% |
| 12 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.39 | -52.2% | 50.0% | 90 | -0.6% |
| 13 | T3 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 4.2% | 0.38 | -39.1% | 45.0% | 80 | -1.8% |
| 14 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.38 | -48.3% | 55.9% | 238 | 0.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Pinnacle West Capital (PNW)
0 of 726 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) outright. Another 155 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 446 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 2.49× | 3.97× |
| QQE | — | 1.12× | 2.85× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.51× | 3.06× |
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.55× | 3.14× |
| Williams %R | — | 1.57× | 5.23× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | — | 1.57× | 3.25× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Pinnacle West Capital (PNW), SMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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