The best indicator for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Demand Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) over ~15.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR.
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) — trailing buy-and-hold by 11.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 25.8% | 0.88 | -51.2% | 64.6% | 195 | 3.5% |
| 2 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 24.3% | 0.81 | -49.8% | 50.0% | 42 | 2.2% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 18.6% | 0.74 | -46.5% | 76.3% | 76 | -3.6% |
| 4 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 18.8% | 0.74 | -53.0% | 42.0% | 50 | -3.3% |
| 5 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.71 | -45.2% | 58.9% | 175 | -6.8% |
| 6 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 16.7% | 0.7 | -38.7% | 50.0% | 34 | -5.4% |
| 7 | Relative Volatility Index | Weekly | 17.4% | 0.68 | -53.5% | 50.0% | 54 | -4.7% |
| 8 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 16.7% | 0.65 | -53.3% | 51.4% | 37 | -5.6% |
| 9 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.65 | -35.1% | 73.0% | 37 | -9.2% |
| 10 | Half Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.5% | 0.65 | -40.3% | 63.2% | 19 | -5.6% |
| 11 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.62 | -39.7% | 57.1% | 175 | -8.7% |
| 12 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 14.5% | 0.62 | -56.4% | 51.0% | 649 | -7.7% |
| 13 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.61 | -54.9% | 72.0% | 25 | -8.8% |
| 14 | ROC (60) | Daily | 14.6% | 0.61 | -66.8% | 39.3% | 107 | -7.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
44 of 616 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) outright. Another 68 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 40 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connors RSI-2 | 2 | none needed | 4.88× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.92× |
| Demand Index | 2 | none needed | 3.47× |
| Projection Bands | 2 | none needed | 3.46× |
| Connors RSI | 1 | 1.63× | 4.53× |
| MA Envelope | 1 | 2.16× | 4.07× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For NXP Semiconductors (NXPI), Demand Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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