The best indicator for Neo
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Neo history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Neo over ~8.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 50.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | Daily | 25.2% | 0.66 | -79.0% | 35.8% | 190 | 45.4% |
| 2 | Supertrend (7,2) | Daily | 21.6% | 0.62 | -77.9% | 42.6% | 61 | 41.8% |
| 3 | Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) ✓ | Weekly | 23.8% | 0.62 | -85.3% | 31.7% | 41 | 50.1% |
| 4 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 20.7% | 0.6 | -80.2% | 35.7% | 154 | 40.9% |
| 5 | KAMA 30 Trend | Daily | 20.2% | 0.6 | -82.2% | 37.2% | 113 | 40.4% |
| 6 | LSMA 30 Trend | Daily | 20.4% | 0.6 | -78.8% | 42.7% | 211 | 40.6% |
| 7 | Fractal Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 22.7% | 0.6 | -62.2% | 39.5% | 43 | 49.0% |
| 8 | Regularized EMA | Daily | 19.4% | 0.59 | -89.0% | 38.2% | 199 | 39.6% |
| 9 | Bollinger Squeeze ✓ | Daily | 17.8% | 0.58 | -68.1% | 51.4% | 37 | 38.0% |
| 10 | EMA 30 Trend | Daily | 19.1% | 0.58 | -81.8% | 35.8% | 151 | 39.3% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 18.1% | 0.57 | -79.9% | 44.9% | 69 | 38.3% |
| 12 | VWAP Trend | Daily | 18.0% | 0.57 | -81.5% | 40.9% | 176 | 38.2% |
| 13 | Zero-Lag LSMA ✓ | Weekly | 19.5% | 0.57 | -79.7% | 45.0% | 20 | 45.9% |
| 14 | FRAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 20.8% | 0.57 | -79.0% | 32.3% | 31 | 47.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Neo, Delta Volume Rising (CVD proxy) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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