The best indicator for McDonald's (MCD)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real McDonald's (MCD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
G-Channel
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for McDonald's (MCD) over ~60.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for McDonald's (MCD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.1% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G-Channel ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.65 | -59.6% | 55.0% | 60 | -1.8% |
| 2 | PMax ✓ | Weekly | 12.2% | 0.64 | -50.6% | 53.3% | 15 | -1.7% |
| 3 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.63 | -55.4% | 44.7% | 47 | -3.4% |
| 4 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.62 | -58.7% | 48.1% | 27 | -2.7% |
| 5 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.61 | -64.4% | 40.6% | 32 | -2.9% |
| 6 | DeMarker ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.6 | -49.4% | 84.4% | 45 | -5.9% |
| 7 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.6 | -46.8% | 44.7% | 85 | -4.0% |
| 8 | ROC (60) ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.6 | -60.4% | 53.2% | 62 | -3.0% |
| 9 | CCI (200) ✓ | Weekly | 10.7% | 0.6 | -72.9% | 29.6% | 27 | -3.2% |
| 10 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.58 | -58.1% | 83.1% | 65 | -5.5% |
| 11 | Trend Intensity Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.58 | -54.4% | 62.5% | 16 | -3.5% |
| 12 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.57 | -69.4% | 39.0% | 821 | -2.5% |
| 13 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.7% | 0.57 | -77.5% | 43.2% | 44 | -4.2% |
| 14 | T3 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.4% | 0.57 | -33.0% | 51.4% | 35 | -5.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For McDonald's (MCD), G-Channel on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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