The best indicator for Marathon Digital
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Marathon Digital history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Standard Error Bands
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Marathon Digital over ~14.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 48.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Camarilla Pivots | Daily | 39.5% | 0.7 | -93.8% | 48.3% | 675 | 53.7% |
| 2 | Standard Error Bands ✓ | Daily | 34.7% | 0.67 | -67.8% | 60.4% | 48 | 48.8% |
| 3 | Hull MA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 32.5% | 0.67 | -78.1% | 42.6% | 61 | 46.7% |
| 4 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 27.4% | 0.66 | -91.0% | 44.9% | 136 | 41.6% |
| 5 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 29.7% | 0.65 | -89.3% | 35.7% | 84 | 43.9% |
| 6 | Aroon ✓ | Daily | 26.8% | 0.65 | -78.3% | 36.7% | 120 | 41.0% |
| 7 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 26.8% | 0.65 | -78.3% | 36.7% | 120 | 41.0% |
| 8 | Fibonacci Pivots | Daily | 37.4% | 0.65 | -95.1% | 45.9% | 538 | 51.5% |
| 9 | Ichimoku (fast) ✓ | Daily | 27.1% | 0.65 | -80.7% | 42.9% | 156 | 41.3% |
| 10 | Cascade Z-Score ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.65 | -85.5% | 33.3% | 93 | 42.8% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 29.5% | 0.64 | -76.9% | 37.0% | 54 | 43.6% |
| 12 | Vortex ✓ | Daily | 23.8% | 0.64 | -86.7% | 38.3% | 183 | 38.0% |
| 13 | Donchian 10 Break ✓ | Daily | 23.9% | 0.64 | -91.8% | 25.0% | 100 | 38.0% |
| 14 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 22.7% | 0.63 | -87.8% | 35.0% | 157 | 36.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Marathon Digital, Standard Error Bands on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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