The best indicator for Lam Research (LRCX)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lam Research (LRCX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Lam Research (LRCX) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Hull MA 15/60 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lam Research (LRCX) over ~42.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.8% CAGR.
Lam Research (LRCX) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lam Research (LRCX) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hull MA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 19.9% | 0.66 | -56.0% | 47.7% | 65 | 0.8% |
| 2 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Daily | 19.1% | 0.64 | -53.4% | 51.2% | 80 | -0.1% |
| 3 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 19.0% | 0.64 | -66.7% | 49.0% | 96 | -0.1% |
| 4 | Random Walk Index ✓ | Weekly | 19.0% | 0.64 | -66.7% | 49.0% | 96 | -0.1% |
| 5 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 18.6% | 0.63 | -56.0% | 43.8% | 80 | -0.5% |
| 6 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Weekly | 18.5% | 0.63 | -69.0% | 47.9% | 96 | -0.6% |
| 7 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 19.3% | 0.62 | -76.6% | 44.1% | 59 | 0.1% |
| 8 | Aroon ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.62 | -72.9% | 58.7% | 63 | -1.1% |
| 9 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Weekly | 17.7% | 0.62 | -63.7% | 48.5% | 101 | -1.4% |
| 10 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.62 | -60.6% | 55.2% | 67 | -1.0% |
| 11 | Aroon Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.62 | -72.9% | 58.7% | 63 | -1.1% |
| 12 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.62 | -74.4% | 54.1% | 37 | -0.8% |
| 13 | SMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 18.2% | 0.61 | -84.4% | 50.0% | 36 | -0.9% |
| 14 | Vortex ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.61 | -66.7% | 50.5% | 95 | -1.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Lam Research (LRCX)
0 of 692 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Lam Research (LRCX) outright. Another 249 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 422 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markov Regime | — | 1.17× | 1.98× |
| QQE | — | 1.27× | 1.85× |
| VIDYA 30 Trend | — | 1.4× | 1.86× |
| Awesome Oscillator | — | 1.44× | 2.29× |
| Vegas Tunnel | — | 1.44× | 1.93× |
| WMA 200 Trend | — | 1.45× | 1.82× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Lam Research (LRCX), Hull MA 15/60 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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