The best indicator for Lilly (Eli) (LLY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lilly (Eli) (LLY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Lilly (Eli) (LLY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Volume Flow Indicator
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lilly (Eli) (LLY) over ~54.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.9% CAGR.
Lilly (Eli) (LLY) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lilly (Eli) (LLY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.73 | -54.0% | 50.0% | 14 | 0.9% |
| 2 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.65 | -42.0% | 46.7% | 15 | -1.2% |
| 3 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.63 | -55.1% | 29.2% | 24 | -1.6% |
| 4 | CCI (200) ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.63 | -64.3% | 45.5% | 22 | -1.5% |
| 5 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.63 | -63.5% | 44.2% | 43 | -0.9% |
| 6 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.62 | -47.1% | 83.6% | 55 | -4.6% |
| 7 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 10.9% | 0.61 | -48.4% | 34.9% | 109 | -3.2% |
| 8 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.61 | -68.3% | 30.8% | 39 | -0.7% |
| 9 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.61 | -65.2% | 37.9% | 29 | -1.9% |
| 10 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.59 | -53.4% | 53.1% | 32 | -2.9% |
| 11 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 12.5% | 0.59 | -68.3% | 69.9% | 249 | -1.6% |
| 12 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.68 | -39.8% | 61.5% | 13 | -1.5% |
| 13 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.58 | -56.3% | 50.0% | 24 | -3.5% |
| 14 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.6% | 0.58 | -67.3% | 36.7% | 30 | -1.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Lilly (Eli) (LLY)
0 of 702 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Lilly (Eli) (LLY) outright. Another 305 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 389 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.29× | 2.65× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.68× | 2.22× |
| SMC: Order Block | — | 1.72× | 2.54× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | — | 1.73× | 2.15× |
| SMA 100 Trend | — | 1.74× | 2.83× |
| CCI (100) | — | 1.78× | 2.43× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Lilly (Eli) (LLY), Volume Flow Indicator on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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