The best indicator for Lilly (Eli) (LLY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lilly (Eli) (LLY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Lilly (Eli) (LLY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
TRIMA 200 Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lilly (Eli) (LLY) over ~54.5 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.1% CAGR.
Lilly (Eli) (LLY) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lilly (Eli) (LLY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.65 | -42.2% | 46.7% | 15 | -1.1% |
| 2 | CCI (200) ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.64 | -60.6% | 45.0% | 20 | -1.2% |
| 3 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.63 | -55.5% | 29.2% | 24 | -1.6% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 13.3% | 0.63 | -63.8% | 40.9% | 44 | -0.7% |
| 5 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.62 | -47.1% | 83.6% | 55 | -4.6% |
| 6 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.61 | -48.4% | 34.9% | 109 | -3.2% |
| 7 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.61 | -68.3% | 30.8% | 39 | -0.7% |
| 8 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.1% | 0.61 | -64.6% | 40.0% | 30 | -1.9% |
| 9 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 12.7% | 0.6 | -67.3% | 22.2% | 18 | -1.4% |
| 10 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 12.5% | 0.59 | -68.3% | 69.9% | 249 | -1.6% |
| 11 | Vegas Tunnel ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.59 | -51.5% | 51.6% | 31 | -2.9% |
| 12 | T3 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.67 | -39.8% | 61.5% | 13 | -1.5% |
| 13 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.58 | -35.8% | 71.6% | 88 | -5.5% |
| 14 | Positive Volume Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.58 | -56.1% | 47.8% | 23 | -3.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Lilly (Eli) (LLY)
0 of 702 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Lilly (Eli) (LLY) outright. Another 305 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 389 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.29× | 2.65× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.68× | 2.22× |
| SMC: Order Block | — | 1.72× | 2.54× |
| Chande Kroll Stop | — | 1.73× | 2.15× |
| SMA 100 Trend | — | 1.74× | 2.83× |
| CCI (100) | — | 1.78× | 2.43× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Lilly (Eli) (LLY), TRIMA 200 Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Lilly’s signal flips
We track Lilly daily. Its backtested best indicator, TRIMA 200 Trend (Weekly), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.