The best indicator for Lean Hogs (HE)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lean Hogs (HE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Lean Hogs (HE) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Schaff Trend Cycle
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lean Hogs (HE) over ~25.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.6% CAGR.
Lean Hogs (HE) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Lean Hogs (HE) — beating buy-and-hold by 3.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schaff Trend Cycle ✓ | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.63 | -15.1% | 61.5% | 39 | 3.6% |
| 2 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Daily | 3.6% | 0.6 | -16.4% | 50.7% | 148 | 2.3% |
| 3 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.6 | -49.6% | 79.4% | 34 | 10.2% |
| 4 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.6 | -47.4% | 72.0% | 25 | 12.5% |
| 5 | B-Xtrender ✓ | Daily | 9.8% | 0.56 | -46.0% | 44.9% | 519 | 8.5% |
| 6 | VWAP Bands ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.55 | -46.6% | 71.4% | 21 | 9.2% |
| 7 | Hammer ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.55 | -28.8% | 64.3% | 28 | 5.1% |
| 8 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.52 | -43.4% | 94.7% | 19 | 9.8% |
| 9 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.51 | -79.8% | 46.1% | 657 | 9.4% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.51 | -46.6% | 87.5% | 24 | 10.3% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.51 | -57.4% | 71.4% | 70 | 9.7% |
| 12 | Bollinger 50 (x2.5) Break ✓ | Daily | 1.8% | 0.5 | -10.1% | 46.9% | 49 | 0.5% |
| 13 | DeMarker ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.49 | -46.6% | 92.0% | 25 | 8.0% |
| 14 | Stochastic Fast (5,3) ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.48 | -75.0% | 45.6% | 835 | 8.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Lean Hogs (HE)
82 of 669 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Lean Hogs (HE) outright. Another 63 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 59 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA Envelope | 2 | none needed | 2.59× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 2.11× |
| Demand Index | 2 | none needed | 2.28× |
| Projection Bands | 2 | none needed | 2.68× |
| Morning Star | 1 | 1.07× | 3.99× |
| Markov Regime (Confirmed) | 1 | 1.32× | 3.23× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Lean Hogs (HE), Schaff Trend Cycle on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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