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The best indicator for Expeditors International (EXPD)

We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Expeditors International (EXPD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — Fibonacci Pivots (Daily) is out of the market, as of 2026-06-12.
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Mean Reversion · Daily

Fibonacci Pivots

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Expeditors International (EXPD) over ~41.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.

16.4%
CAGR
0.8
Sharpe
-37.2%
Max DD
48.7%
Win rate
1.09
Profit factor
-2.3%
vs Buy&Hold
Confluence · Daily

Best multi-indicator combo

StochasticDeMarker

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Expeditors International (EXPD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

9.7%
CAGR
0.62
Sharpe
74.5%
Win rate
161
Trades
-9.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Fibonacci Pivots
-2.3% · Sharpe 0.8
Weekly
Connors RSI
-7.6% · Sharpe 0.69
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Fibonacci Pivots Daily16.4%0.8-37.2%48.7%1656-2.3%
2Pivot Points (Standard) Daily15.4%0.78-39.9%49.1%1503-3.2%
3Camarilla PivotsDaily16.6%0.78-55.5%49.2%2112-2.1%
4DeMarker Daily13.4%0.7-32.6%75.0%148-5.3%
5Intraday Momentum Index Daily13.1%0.69-37.4%72.4%127-5.6%
6Connors RSI Weekly11.0%0.69-38.8%80.8%99-7.6%
7Projection Bands Daily12.1%0.66-41.3%62.6%372-6.5%
8Demand Index Weekly12.4%0.66-45.3%80.0%110-6.2%
9QQE Weekly16.3%0.65-66.6%51.6%122-2.3%
10WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily13.1%0.64-48.6%74.1%162-5.6%
11Markov Regime Daily17.4%0.64-58.1%51.9%79-1.3%
12McGinley 100 Trend Daily17.2%0.63-58.1%40.9%22-1.4%
13CCI Weekly9.9%0.63-35.7%90.2%41-8.8%
14MA Envelope Weekly10.4%0.63-38.8%80.0%95-8.2%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Expeditors International (EXPD), Fibonacci Pivots on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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