The best indicator for Expeditors International (EXPD)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Expeditors International (EXPD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Fibonacci Pivots
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Expeditors International (EXPD) over ~41.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Expeditors International (EXPD) — trailing buy-and-hold by 9.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 16.4% | 0.8 | -37.2% | 48.7% | 1656 | -2.3% |
| 2 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.78 | -39.9% | 49.1% | 1503 | -3.2% |
| 3 | Camarilla Pivots | Daily | 16.6% | 0.78 | -55.5% | 49.2% | 2112 | -2.1% |
| 4 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.7 | -32.6% | 75.0% | 148 | -5.3% |
| 5 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 13.1% | 0.69 | -37.4% | 72.4% | 127 | -5.6% |
| 6 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.69 | -38.8% | 80.8% | 99 | -7.6% |
| 7 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.66 | -41.3% | 62.6% | 372 | -6.5% |
| 8 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 12.4% | 0.66 | -45.3% | 80.0% | 110 | -6.2% |
| 9 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 16.3% | 0.65 | -66.6% | 51.6% | 122 | -2.3% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 13.1% | 0.64 | -48.6% | 74.1% | 162 | -5.6% |
| 11 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 17.4% | 0.64 | -58.1% | 51.9% | 79 | -1.3% |
| 12 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.63 | -58.1% | 40.9% | 22 | -1.4% |
| 13 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.63 | -35.7% | 90.2% | 41 | -8.8% |
| 14 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.63 | -38.8% | 80.0% | 95 | -8.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Expeditors International (EXPD), Fibonacci Pivots on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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