The best indicator for Expand Energy (EXE)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Expand Energy (EXE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Expand Energy (EXE) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Pivot Points (Standard)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Expand Energy (EXE) over ~5.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.0% CAGR.
Expand Energy (EXE) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Expand Energy (EXE) — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 27.8% | 1.58 | -15.7% | 54.5% | 44 | 7.0% |
| 2 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 28.7% | 1.57 | -15.7% | 54.3% | 46 | 7.9% |
| 3 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 23.0% | 1.05 | -26.1% | 81.1% | 37 | 3.2% |
| 4 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Daily | 26.3% | 1.04 | -23.5% | 56.1% | 148 | 6.6% |
| 5 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 18.1% | 0.85 | -25.8% | 72.0% | 25 | -1.7% |
| 6 | Connors RSI ✓ | Daily | 14.5% | 0.85 | -15.4% | 69.5% | 59 | -5.3% |
| 7 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 16.6% | 0.84 | -20.5% | 70.8% | 48 | -3.2% |
| 8 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.81 | -22.6% | 66.7% | 21 | -7.1% |
| 9 | Fibonacci Bands ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.81 | -22.6% | 66.7% | 21 | -7.1% |
| 10 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 15.3% | 0.79 | -18.9% | 63.2% | 57 | -5.6% |
| 11 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 15.9% | 0.77 | -20.5% | 71.0% | 69 | -3.9% |
| 12 | Volume Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 17.1% | 0.76 | -24.9% | 57.9% | 19 | -3.8% |
| 13 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep | Daily | 13.7% | 0.74 | -26.3% | 73.7% | 19 | -6.1% |
| 14 | DeMarker ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.72 | -34.1% | 73.3% | 15 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Expand Energy (EXE)
32 of 328 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Expand Energy (EXE) outright. Another 41 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 20 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | none needed | 5.81× |
| Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) | 1 | 1.13× | 12.97× |
| Detrended Price Osc. | 1 | 2.27× | 7.25× |
| ROC (5) | 1 | 4.43× | 4.91× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 7.19× |
| CCI | 1 | none needed | 6.54× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Expand Energy (EXE), Pivot Points (Standard) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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