The best indicator for eBay Inc. (EBAY)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real eBay Inc. (EBAY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Keltner Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) over ~27.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.61 | -60.7% | 71.6% | 88 | -7.7% |
| 2 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 13.0% | 0.59 | -38.5% | 34.5% | 29 | -7.0% |
| 3 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.59 | -74.9% | 29.2% | 24 | -1.6% |
| 4 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.58 | -33.2% | 61.9% | 21 | -9.7% |
| 5 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.56 | -70.7% | 45.9% | 61 | -4.0% |
| 6 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.55 | -59.2% | 44.8% | 67 | -9.1% |
| 7 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.55 | -54.6% | 48.1% | 106 | -5.1% |
| 8 | G-Channel ✓ | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.55 | -58.5% | 47.5% | 40 | -4.9% |
| 9 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.54 | -58.5% | 50.7% | 225 | -6.6% |
| 10 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.8% | 0.54 | -73.2% | 44.1% | 34 | -5.1% |
| 11 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 13.2% | 0.53 | -66.8% | 46.3% | 177 | -6.6% |
| 12 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 13.6% | 0.53 | -58.9% | 50.0% | 128 | -6.2% |
| 13 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 12.9% | 0.53 | -61.8% | 38.4% | 305 | -6.9% |
| 14 | Andean Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.53 | -48.2% | 45.3% | 148 | -7.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For eBay Inc. (EBAY), Keltner Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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