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The best indicator for eBay Inc. (EBAY)

We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real eBay Inc. (EBAY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Signaling FLAT right now — Keltner Mean-Reversion (Daily) is out of the market. Signal as of 2026-09-10.
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Key levels · as of 2026-09-09

Where eBay Inc. (EBAY) stands

103.51
last daily close (2026-09-09)
98.32
200-day simple moving average price 5.3% above
108.84
50-day simple moving average price 4.9% below
78.69–118.27
52-week range

Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.

Volatility · Daily

Keltner Mean-Reversion

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) over ~27.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.7% CAGR.

12.2%
CAGR
0.61
Sharpe
-60.7%
Max DD
71.6%
Win rate
2.55
Profit factor
-7.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Chart

eBay Inc. (EBAY) on the daily chart

The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.

Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.

NOTHING BEAT BUY-AND-HOLD
Full strategy report — every setup ranked out-of-sample, corrected for data-mining, and forward-tracked in public.
Read the verdict
Confluence · Weekly

Best multi-indicator combo

Random Walk IndexVortex

Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.

6.2%
CAGR
0.35
Sharpe
48.1%
Win rate
77
Trades
-13.7%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
Keltner Mean-Reversion
-7.7% · Sharpe 0.61
Weekly
Trend Regularity Adaptive MA
-7.0% · Sharpe 0.59
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1Keltner Mean-Reversion Daily12.2%0.61-60.7%71.6%88-7.7%
2Trend Regularity Adaptive MA Weekly13.0%0.59-38.5%34.5%29-7.0%
3KAMA 200 Trend Weekly18.3%0.59-74.9%29.2%24-1.6%
4LSMA 200 Trend Weekly10.2%0.58-33.2%61.9%21-9.7%
5Predictive Ranges Weekly16.0%0.56-70.7%45.9%61-4.0%
6Negative Volume Index Daily10.7%0.55-59.2%44.8%67-9.1%
7Parabolic SAR (fast) Weekly14.9%0.55-54.6%48.1%106-5.1%
8G-Channel Weekly15.1%0.55-58.5%47.5%40-4.9%
9Price Momentum Oscillator Daily13.9%0.55-53.3%46.7%182-6.0%
10Ehlers Reflex Daily13.2%0.54-58.5%50.7%225-6.6%
11Coral Trend Weekly14.8%0.54-73.2%44.1%34-5.1%
12Linear Regression Slope Daily13.2%0.53-66.8%46.3%177-6.6%
13Ehlers Roofing Filter Daily13.6%0.53-58.9%50.0%128-6.2%
14DMI Direction Daily12.9%0.53-61.8%38.4%305-6.9%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

The leverage question

What it would take to beat buy & hold on eBay Inc. (EBAY)

7 of 650 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on eBay Inc. (EBAY) outright. Another 199 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 266 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.

IndicatorBeats B&H unlevered Leverage neededLeverage survived
Vortex1none needed2.75×
Chaikin Money Flow1none needed3.52×
Random Walk Index1none needed2.75×
FRAMA 10/30 Cross1none needed2.17×
TEMA 200 Trend1none needed2.58×
RSI (30)1none needed2.46×

Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way

What this means

For eBay Inc. (EBAY), Keltner Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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