The best indicator for eBay Inc. (EBAY)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real eBay Inc. (EBAY) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where eBay Inc. (EBAY) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Keltner Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) over ~28.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.2% CAGR.
eBay Inc. (EBAY) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for eBay Inc. (EBAY) — trailing buy-and-hold by 13.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.61 | -60.7% | 71.9% | 89 | -7.2% |
| 2 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 12.9% | 0.59 | -38.5% | 35.7% | 28 | -6.7% |
| 3 | KAMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.0% | 0.59 | -74.9% | 29.2% | 24 | -1.6% |
| 4 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.57 | -33.2% | 61.9% | 21 | -9.6% |
| 5 | Predictive Ranges ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.56 | -70.7% | 44.3% | 61 | -3.7% |
| 6 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.55 | -54.6% | 47.2% | 108 | -5.0% |
| 7 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Daily | 13.3% | 0.54 | -58.5% | 50.7% | 227 | -6.1% |
| 8 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.54 | -53.3% | 46.2% | 184 | -5.9% |
| 9 | G-Channel ✓ | Weekly | 14.8% | 0.54 | -58.5% | 47.5% | 40 | -4.8% |
| 10 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 13.0% | 0.53 | -66.8% | 46.9% | 179 | -6.4% |
| 11 | Negative Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 10.3% | 0.53 | -59.2% | 44.1% | 68 | -9.1% |
| 12 | Correlation Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.0% | 0.53 | -66.8% | 46.9% | 179 | -6.4% |
| 13 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.6% | 0.53 | -73.2% | 44.1% | 34 | -5.0% |
| 14 | MAMA / FAMA ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.53 | -71.5% | 46.7% | 30 | -5.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on eBay Inc. (EBAY)
7 of 650 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on eBay Inc. (EBAY) outright. Another 199 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 266 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vortex | 1 | none needed | 2.75× |
| Chaikin Money Flow | 1 | none needed | 3.52× |
| Random Walk Index | 1 | none needed | 2.75× |
| FRAMA 10/30 Cross | 1 | none needed | 2.17× |
| TEMA 200 Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.58× |
| RSI (30) | 1 | none needed | 2.46× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For eBay Inc. (EBAY), Keltner Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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