The best indicator for Polkadot (DOT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Polkadot (DOT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Polkadot (DOT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Relative Vigor Index
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Polkadot (DOT) over ~6.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 44.4% CAGR.
Polkadot (DOT) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Polkadot (DOT) — beating buy-and-hold by 36.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vertical Horizontal Filter | Daily | 28.9% | 0.79 | -44.1% | 48.4% | 62 | 38.0% |
| 2 | KAMA 100 Trend | Daily | 27.1% | 0.7 | -60.0% | 31.1% | 45 | 36.3% |
| 3 | ADX Strong Trend | Daily | 25.3% | 0.68 | -68.0% | 39.4% | 33 | 34.4% |
| 4 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 23.6% | 0.67 | -55.0% | 29.4% | 34 | 32.8% |
| 5 | Coral Trend | Daily | 26.1% | 0.67 | -77.5% | 37.0% | 46 | 35.2% |
| 6 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) | Daily | 22.1% | 0.67 | -55.6% | 31.7% | 41 | 31.3% |
| 7 | RSI (9) | Weekly | 28.5% | 0.66 | -70.3% | 46.7% | 15 | 45.7% |
| 8 | WMA 15/60 Cross | Daily | 23.5% | 0.65 | -76.0% | 25.9% | 27 | 32.7% |
| 9 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 22.7% | 0.63 | -77.6% | 41.2% | 51 | 31.9% |
| 10 | Supertrend (10,3) | Daily | 22.3% | 0.62 | -78.8% | 32.1% | 28 | 31.4% |
| 11 | TRIX (21) | Daily | 21.2% | 0.62 | -67.6% | 33.3% | 15 | 30.3% |
| 12 | Relative Vigor Index ✓ | Weekly | 27.2% | 0.62 | -77.5% | 41.7% | 24 | 44.4% |
| 13 | Kaufman Adaptive MA | Weekly | 24.2% | 0.62 | -67.9% | 43.8% | 16 | 41.4% |
| 14 | Smoothed Heikin-Ashi | Weekly | 24.4% | 0.62 | -76.0% | 37.5% | 16 | 41.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Polkadot (DOT) lost money across the out-of-sample window in 349 of 349 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Polkadot (DOT), Relative Vigor Index on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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