The best indicator for Polkadot (DOT)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Polkadot (DOT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Vertical Horizontal Filter
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Polkadot (DOT) over ~8.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 43.4% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Polkadot (DOT) — beating buy-and-hold by 36.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vertical Horizontal Filter ✓ | Daily | 31.1% | 0.83 | -40.8% | 49.2% | 59 | 43.4% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 29.0% | 0.76 | -41.7% | 31.2% | 32 | 41.3% |
| 3 | ADX Strong Trend ✓ | Daily | 27.5% | 0.71 | -61.6% | 38.7% | 31 | 39.8% |
| 4 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 22.1% | 0.66 | -50.5% | 36.4% | 22 | 34.4% |
| 5 | Keltner 50 (x2.0) ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 0.66 | -55.6% | 28.9% | 38 | 33.8% |
| 6 | Coral Trend | Daily | 24.4% | 0.65 | -72.9% | 36.4% | 44 | 36.7% |
| 7 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 23.5% | 0.65 | -59.6% | 30.2% | 43 | 35.8% |
| 8 | Supertrend (10,3) | Daily | 22.5% | 0.62 | -74.2% | 32.0% | 25 | 34.8% |
| 9 | WMA 15/60 Cross | Daily | 20.6% | 0.61 | -73.4% | 23.1% | 26 | 32.9% |
| 10 | Markov Regime (Confirmed) ✓ | Daily | 20.6% | 0.61 | -61.3% | 43.2% | 74 | 32.9% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 19.8% | 0.59 | -74.7% | 41.7% | 48 | 32.1% |
| 12 | MA Ribbon | Daily | 19.1% | 0.59 | -69.2% | 40.0% | 20 | 31.4% |
| 13 | RSI (7) | Weekly | 21.0% | 0.59 | -71.0% | 35.3% | 17 | 42.6% |
| 14 | RSI (9) | Weekly | 25.1% | 0.63 | -70.3% | 42.9% | 14 | 46.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Polkadot (DOT), Vertical Horizontal Filter on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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