The best indicator for Deckers Brands (DECK)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Deckers Brands (DECK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Deckers Brands (DECK) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Fibonacci Pivots
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Deckers Brands (DECK) over ~32.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 13.1% CAGR.
Deckers Brands (DECK) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Deckers Brands (DECK) — beating buy-and-hold by 0.2% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Daily | 26.6% | 0.77 | -86.8% | 49.5% | 1367 | 13.1% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Daily | 23.9% | 0.72 | -92.3% | 49.7% | 1687 | 10.4% |
| 3 | Lorentzian Classification ✓ | Weekly | 19.1% | 0.7 | -51.9% | 53.4% | 296 | 5.7% |
| 4 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Daily | 22.1% | 0.69 | -92.8% | 50.1% | 1228 | 8.6% |
| 5 | Trend Regularity Adaptive MA ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.69 | -70.4% | 40.0% | 35 | 4.1% |
| 6 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 20.6% | 0.66 | -66.4% | 61.8% | 304 | 7.1% |
| 7 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 21.1% | 0.65 | -77.4% | 61.7% | 321 | 7.7% |
| 8 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Weekly | 17.4% | 0.64 | -68.5% | 50.0% | 30 | 4.0% |
| 9 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Weekly | 18.2% | 0.64 | -82.0% | 38.1% | 21 | 4.8% |
| 10 | Even Better Sinewave ✓ | Weekly | 18.4% | 0.63 | -68.2% | 53.1% | 32 | 5.0% |
| 11 | LSMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.2% | 0.63 | -50.0% | 41.9% | 31 | 2.8% |
| 12 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 18.1% | 0.63 | -73.5% | 42.9% | 21 | 4.7% |
| 13 | TRIX (15) ✓ | Weekly | 18.2% | 0.63 | -63.5% | 47.1% | 17 | 4.8% |
| 14 | T3 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 21.7% | 0.72 | -57.9% | 76.9% | 13 | 8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Deckers Brands (DECK)
2 of 664 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Deckers Brands (DECK) outright. Another 157 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 456 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull MA 200 Trend | 1 | none needed | 2.78× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | 1 | none needed | 2.1× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 2.03× | 2.26× |
| Predictive Ranges | — | 1.23× | 2.1× |
| QQE | — | 1.33× | 1.71× |
| Accumulation/Distribution | — | 1.38× | 2.27× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Deckers Brands (DECK), Fibonacci Pivots on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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