The best indicator for Cotton (CT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Cotton (CT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
DEMA 20/50 Cross
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Cotton (CT) over ~26.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Cotton (CT) — beating buy-and-hold by 1.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.42 | -51.2% | 47.1% | 17 | 5.6% |
| 2 | LSMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.42 | -44.1% | 46.9% | 32 | 4.9% |
| 3 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Weekly | 5.1% | 0.42 | -39.9% | 44.9% | 49 | 3.8% |
| 4 | Coral Trend ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.4 | -51.9% | 51.9% | 27 | 5.1% |
| 5 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.39 | -42.6% | 44.2% | 43 | 3.5% |
| 6 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.39 | -49.4% | 46.2% | 26 | 4.8% |
| 7 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.38 | -38.3% | 53.3% | 15 | 3.8% |
| 8 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.6% | 0.38 | -41.3% | 35.3% | 34 | 4.2% |
| 9 | Chandelier Exit ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.37 | -61.8% | 43.9% | 57 | 4.5% |
| 10 | Williams %R (28) ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.37 | -49.0% | 39.3% | 56 | 4.1% |
| 11 | WMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.36 | -50.2% | 34.0% | 94 | 3.8% |
| 12 | EMA 8/21 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.36 | -49.8% | 30.8% | 26 | 4.1% |
| 13 | Linear Regression Slope | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.36 | -54.7% | 54.5% | 33 | 4.1% |
| 14 | Correlation Trend | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.36 | -54.7% | 54.5% | 33 | 4.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Cotton (CT), DEMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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