The best indicator for Box
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Box history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Box stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Box over ~11.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 14.1% CAGR.
Box on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holy Grail Confluence | Daily | 14.0% | 0.72 | -35.5% | 68.4% | 19 | 13.4% |
| 2 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 14.7% | 0.7 | -35.2% | 68.4% | 79 | 14.1% |
| 3 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 13.6% | 0.65 | -43.1% | 77.0% | 61 | 13.0% |
| 4 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.64 | -41.9% | 70.0% | 40 | 13.3% |
| 5 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 13.2% | 0.64 | -48.5% | 57.3% | 89 | 12.6% |
| 6 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 13.5% | 0.63 | -34.5% | 55.9% | 102 | 12.9% |
| 7 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.62 | -46.0% | 70.7% | 58 | 13.5% |
| 8 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.62 | -32.1% | 76.3% | 38 | 9.8% |
| 9 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 10.6% | 0.54 | -34.7% | 86.7% | 15 | 10.0% |
| 10 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.54 | -30.5% | 59.3% | 27 | 7.9% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.52 | -42.8% | 72.4% | 98 | 9.7% |
| 12 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.48 | -44.9% | 63.4% | 101 | 8.5% |
| 13 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.47 | -48.9% | 73.7% | 19 | 6.8% |
| 14 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.5 | -47.5% | 71.4% | 14 | 10.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Box lost money across the out-of-sample window in 530 of 530 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Box, Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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