The best indicator for Box
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Box history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Box stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Box over ~11.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.9% CAGR.
Box on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 14.9% | 0.71 | -35.2% | 69.6% | 79 | 11.9% |
| 2 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 13.7% | 0.71 | -35.5% | 68.4% | 19 | 10.7% |
| 3 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.67 | -43.1% | 78.7% | 61 | 11.2% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 14.9% | 0.65 | -46.0% | 72.9% | 59 | 11.9% |
| 5 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.65 | -41.9% | 72.5% | 40 | 11.0% |
| 6 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 13.4% | 0.64 | -48.5% | 56.7% | 90 | 10.2% |
| 7 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.64 | -34.5% | 55.3% | 103 | 10.5% |
| 8 | Keltner Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.61 | -32.1% | 76.3% | 38 | 7.2% |
| 9 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.56 | -30.5% | 57.1% | 28 | 5.8% |
| 10 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.57 | -47.5% | 71.4% | 14 | 9.7% |
| 11 | MA Envelope ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.53 | -42.8% | 71.7% | 99 | 7.6% |
| 12 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.53 | -34.7% | 86.7% | 15 | 7.2% |
| 13 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.48 | -44.9% | 62.7% | 102 | 6.1% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.47 | -48.0% | 69.6% | 46 | 6.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on Box lost money across the out-of-sample window in 530 of 530 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For Box, Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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