The best indicator for Atmos Energy (ATO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Atmos Energy (ATO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Atmos Energy (ATO) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
MA Envelope
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Atmos Energy (ATO) over ~42.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.8% CAGR.
Atmos Energy (ATO) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Atmos Energy (ATO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.79 | -38.2% | 77.6% | 85 | -2.8% |
| 2 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.73 | -44.4% | 71.1% | 121 | -2.0% |
| 3 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.72 | -45.3% | 62.4% | 340 | 1.5% |
| 4 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.69 | -39.7% | 86.5% | 74 | -4.5% |
| 5 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.67 | -41.0% | 65.0% | 526 | -2.1% |
| 6 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.63 | -37.0% | 70.1% | 194 | -3.7% |
| 7 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.62 | -37.2% | 72.3% | 119 | -3.9% |
| 8 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.61 | -40.5% | 63.6% | 371 | -4.3% |
| 9 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.6 | -39.6% | 70.2% | 84 | -6.1% |
| 10 | Connors RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.6 | -34.0% | 68.2% | 88 | -5.5% |
| 11 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.6 | -33.1% | 53.9% | 323 | -4.6% |
| 12 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.59 | -35.0% | 81.9% | 116 | -4.9% |
| 13 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.58 | -25.8% | 71.2% | 52 | -5.0% |
| 14 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.0% | 0.58 | -56.6% | 54.2% | 24 | -1.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Atmos Energy (ATO)
1 of 688 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Atmos Energy (ATO) outright. Another 184 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 336 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markov Regime | 1 | none needed | 3.03× |
| QQE | — | 1.21× | 2.66× |
| Zero-Lag MACD | — | 1.6× | 4.16× |
| Chandelier Exit | — | 1.69× | 3.25× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.74× | 3.89× |
| Projection Bands | — | 2.05× | 7.87× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Atmos Energy (ATO), MA Envelope on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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