The best indicator for Atmos Energy (ATO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Atmos Energy (ATO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Projection Bands
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Atmos Energy (ATO) over ~42.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.3% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Atmos Energy (ATO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.81 | -39.4% | 86.7% | 75 | -3.3% |
| 2 | Demand Index ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.75 | -47.2% | 68.6% | 121 | -2.0% |
| 3 | MA Envelope ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.74 | -38.2% | 78.2% | 78 | -3.6% |
| 4 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 13.7% | 0.72 | -45.3% | 62.6% | 337 | 1.4% |
| 5 | Demand Index ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.67 | -41.0% | 65.5% | 521 | -2.4% |
| 6 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.65 | -37.0% | 70.5% | 193 | -3.7% |
| 7 | Projection Bands ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.64 | -40.5% | 64.5% | 372 | -4.0% |
| 8 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.64 | -29.8% | 52.2% | 289 | -4.3% |
| 9 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.64 | -33.0% | 52.8% | 324 | -4.2% |
| 10 | Intraday Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.63 | -37.2% | 73.1% | 119 | -4.0% |
| 11 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Weekly | 6.3% | 0.63 | -39.3% | 74.4% | 82 | -6.0% |
| 12 | Murrey Math Lines ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.61 | -35.0% | 82.8% | 116 | -4.8% |
| 13 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.59 | -26.4% | 72.7% | 55 | -5.2% |
| 14 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.59 | -56.6% | 54.2% | 24 | -1.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Atmos Energy (ATO), Projection Bands on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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