The best indicator for AppLovin (APP)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AppLovin (APP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Historical Volatility Regime
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AppLovin (APP) over ~5.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 26.6% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for AppLovin (APP) — beating buy-and-hold by 26.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Historical Volatility Regime ✓ | Daily | 78.5% | 1.53 | -36.6% | 61.5% | 39 | 26.6% |
| 2 | Volatility Regime (VIX-style) ✓ | Daily | 74.0% | 1.47 | -39.6% | 65.8% | 38 | 22.1% |
| 3 | WMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 88.7% | 1.46 | -43.2% | 52.4% | 21 | 36.8% |
| 4 | DEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 78.3% | 1.44 | -41.1% | 60.0% | 15 | 26.4% |
| 5 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 90.4% | 1.42 | -60.0% | 47.9% | 48 | 38.5% |
| 6 | MA Ribbon ✓ | Daily | 78.6% | 1.41 | -37.9% | 33.3% | 21 | 26.7% |
| 7 | KAMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 87.3% | 1.41 | -49.5% | 40.6% | 32 | 35.3% |
| 8 | T3 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 74.5% | 1.37 | -32.6% | 47.6% | 21 | 22.6% |
| 9 | ZLEMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 69.7% | 1.37 | -35.4% | 39.1% | 23 | 17.7% |
| 10 | ROC (60) ✓ | Daily | 80.6% | 1.35 | -54.7% | 47.1% | 17 | 28.6% |
| 11 | ALMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 90.6% | 1.55 | -51.1% | 53.8% | 13 | 38.6% |
| 12 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Daily | 80.2% | 1.33 | -59.5% | 58.8% | 17 | 28.2% |
| 13 | Q-Stick ✓ | Weekly | 92.9% | 1.33 | -36.2% | 50.0% | 18 | 39.6% |
| 14 | RSI (21) ✓ | Daily | 79.4% | 1.32 | -53.7% | 50.0% | 48 | 27.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For AppLovin (APP), Historical Volatility Regime on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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