The best indicator for Aon plc (AON)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Aon plc (AON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Aon plc (AON) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Money Flow Index
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Aon plc (AON) over ~46.0 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.6% CAGR.
Aon plc (AON) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Aon plc (AON) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.7 | -59.6% | 90.4% | 52 | -2.6% |
| 2 | DeMarker ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.64 | -31.0% | 91.7% | 36 | -4.5% |
| 3 | SMC: Liquidity Sweep ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.62 | -58.9% | 71.2% | 153 | -2.6% |
| 4 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 7.3% | 0.55 | -26.6% | 83.7% | 49 | -5.8% |
| 5 | Markov Regime ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.55 | -65.3% | 60.0% | 40 | -1.5% |
| 6 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.54 | -64.8% | 45.2% | 31 | -2.1% |
| 7 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 9.0% | 0.53 | -50.4% | 66.7% | 27 | -4.2% |
| 8 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 6.5% | 0.52 | -43.4% | 86.1% | 72 | -6.6% |
| 9 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 10.5% | 0.52 | -67.4% | 50.0% | 114 | -2.7% |
| 10 | Markov Regime (Confirmed) ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.52 | -59.0% | 63.1% | 290 | -3.7% |
| 11 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.51 | -63.6% | 71.3% | 164 | -4.8% |
| 12 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.51 | -62.7% | 75.1% | 189 | -6.0% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 7.6% | 0.51 | -39.6% | 80.0% | 60 | -5.6% |
| 14 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.51 | -56.2% | 82.9% | 76 | -5.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Aon plc (AON)
0 of 692 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Aon plc (AON) outright. Another 163 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 412 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | — | 1.28× | 3.15× |
| SMC: Liquidity Sweep | — | 1.67× | 5.92× |
| Demand Index | — | 1.68× | 3.16× |
| T3 100 Trend | — | 1.89× | 3.13× |
| Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) | — | 1.91× | 2.91× |
| Projection Bands | — | 1.92× | 5.48× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Aon plc (AON), Money Flow Index on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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