The best indicator for XPeng
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real XPeng history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where XPeng stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Bandpass Oscillator
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for XPeng over ~6.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 48.6% CAGR.
XPeng on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bandpass Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 35.4% | 0.73 | -52.6% | 52.9% | 17 | 48.6% |
| 2 | STARC Bands | Daily | 20.3% | 0.62 | -48.7% | 40.0% | 20 | 32.6% |
| 3 | Aroon | Daily | 19.1% | 0.57 | -56.8% | 28.6% | 42 | 31.4% |
| 4 | Aroon Oscillator | Daily | 19.1% | 0.57 | -56.8% | 28.6% | 42 | 31.4% |
| 5 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 16.5% | 0.54 | -64.2% | 39.2% | 74 | 28.8% |
| 6 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Daily | 14.8% | 0.53 | -55.9% | 61.7% | 47 | 27.1% |
| 7 | Chop Zone (EMA-34 angle) | Daily | 13.2% | 0.49 | -52.6% | 33.3% | 21 | 25.5% |
| 8 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 12.0% | 0.46 | -56.2% | 40.0% | 25 | 24.3% |
| 9 | Random Walk Index | Daily | 10.6% | 0.45 | -54.1% | 40.0% | 75 | 22.9% |
| 10 | Random Walk Index | Daily | 10.6% | 0.45 | -54.1% | 40.0% | 75 | 22.9% |
| 11 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.43 | -53.5% | 38.9% | 18 | 22.5% |
| 12 | True Strength Index | Daily | 7.7% | 0.41 | -66.7% | 39.1% | 64 | 20.0% |
| 13 | Regularized EMA ✓ | Weekly | 9.1% | 0.41 | -74.0% | 45.0% | 20 | 22.4% |
| 14 | FRAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.41 | -51.2% | 36.0% | 25 | 22.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on XPeng
27 of 341 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on XPeng outright. Another 11 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 23 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stochastic | 1 | none needed | 4.48× |
| Williams %R | 1 | none needed | 4.48× |
| Connors RSI-2 | 1 | none needed | 4.02× |
| Stochastic RSI | 1 | none needed | 4.1× |
| Fisher Transform | 1 | none needed | 1.99× |
| Stochastic Momentum Index | 1 | none needed | 4.48× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For XPeng, Bandpass Oscillator on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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