The best indicator for ExxonMobil (XOM)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real ExxonMobil (XOM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Pivot Points (Standard)
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for ExxonMobil (XOM) over ~64.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.7% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for ExxonMobil (XOM) — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.0% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivot Points (Standard) ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.78 | -59.8% | 55.5% | 481 | -2.7% |
| 2 | Camarilla Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.75 | -56.3% | 54.4% | 698 | -2.3% |
| 3 | Fibonacci Pivots ✓ | Weekly | 8.7% | 0.69 | -63.1% | 53.9% | 523 | -3.5% |
| 4 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | 1-Hour | 17.9% | 1.16 | -15.0% | 75.9% | 29 | 4.8% |
| 5 | SMC: Change of Character ✓ | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.67 | -35.1% | 64.0% | 25 | -1.8% |
| 6 | SMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.65 | -33.2% | 60.7% | 28 | -2.0% |
| 7 | KAMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.65 | -40.4% | 70.6% | 34 | -2.3% |
| 8 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.65 | -67.6% | 73.7% | 19 | -2.0% |
| 9 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 11.9% | 0.65 | -60.6% | 58.8% | 17 | -0.3% |
| 10 | EMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.65 | -34.2% | 55.9% | 34 | -2.0% |
| 11 | SMA 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.65 | -36.3% | 73.1% | 26 | -2.0% |
| 12 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.65 | -42.5% | 60.0% | 20 | -1.9% |
| 13 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.64 | -35.5% | 56.2% | 32 | -1.9% |
| 14 | EMA 13/48 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 10.0% | 0.64 | -35.2% | 53.6% | 28 | -2.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For ExxonMobil (XOM), Pivot Points (Standard) on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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