The best indicator for Walmart (WMT)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Walmart (WMT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Where Walmart (WMT) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
McGinley 200 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Walmart (WMT) over ~53.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.1% CAGR.
Walmart (WMT) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Walmart (WMT) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.5% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McGinley 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 19.9% | 0.8 | -50.6% | 6.7% | 15 | 1.1% |
| 2 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.79 | -50.6% | 16.7% | 18 | 1.2% |
| 3 | Markov Regime ✓ | Daily | 19.2% | 0.79 | -50.6% | 52.8% | 72 | 0.4% |
| 4 | TRIX (21) ✓ | Weekly | 17.1% | 0.78 | -58.1% | 62.5% | 16 | -1.6% |
| 5 | VIDYA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.76 | -50.6% | 15.8% | 19 | -0.9% |
| 6 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Weekly | 16.3% | 0.76 | -60.2% | 36.4% | 22 | -2.4% |
| 7 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 16.0% | 0.74 | -64.8% | 55.0% | 20 | -2.7% |
| 8 | T3 15/60 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.7% | 0.74 | -49.1% | 60.0% | 20 | -4.0% |
| 9 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 17.2% | 0.73 | -57.2% | 60.0% | 155 | -1.5% |
| 10 | TRIMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.7% | 0.73 | -59.8% | 38.5% | 26 | -3.0% |
| 11 | SMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.72 | -63.8% | 40.0% | 35 | -3.2% |
| 12 | EMA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.9% | 0.72 | -68.8% | 45.0% | 20 | -2.8% |
| 13 | CCI (200) ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.72 | -61.0% | 46.9% | 32 | -3.1% |
| 14 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.7% | 0.71 | -63.7% | 46.0% | 50 | -3.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Walmart (WMT)
0 of 716 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Walmart (WMT) outright. Another 350 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 298 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Index | — | 1.39× | 3.77× |
| EMA 10/40 Cross | — | 1.41× | 4.85× |
| QQE | — | 1.45× | 2.99× |
| WMA 15/60 Cross | — | 1.64× | 4.42× |
| ROC (60) | — | 1.66× | 3.6× |
| KAMA 200 Trend | — | 1.71× | 3.15× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Walmart (WMT), McGinley 200 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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