The best indicator for Wayfair
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Wayfair history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Median MA
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Wayfair over ~11.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 29.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Median MA ✓ | Daily | 37.9% | 0.98 | -48.8% | 49.1% | 159 | 29.8% |
| 2 | Williams %R (21) ✓ | Daily | 37.1% | 0.88 | -79.4% | 34.1% | 132 | 29.1% |
| 3 | Volume-Weighted EMA ✓ | Daily | 34.4% | 0.82 | -82.3% | 34.9% | 166 | 26.3% |
| 4 | Keltner Breakout ✓ | Daily | 24.3% | 0.81 | -47.4% | 43.8% | 32 | 16.2% |
| 5 | RSI (9) ✓ | Daily | 33.2% | 0.81 | -84.6% | 38.8% | 183 | 25.1% |
| 6 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 30.9% | 0.8 | -81.7% | 37.1% | 175 | 22.8% |
| 7 | WMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 30.1% | 0.78 | -72.0% | 35.5% | 141 | 22.1% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 30.1% | 0.77 | -84.6% | 36.2% | 138 | 22.0% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi + EMA ✓ | Daily | 30.3% | 0.77 | -78.1% | 29.0% | 138 | 22.2% |
| 10 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 27.6% | 0.77 | -62.1% | 37.0% | 73 | 19.5% |
| 11 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Weekly | 30.9% | 0.77 | -75.2% | 44.9% | 49 | 21.4% |
| 12 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 30.0% | 0.76 | -69.0% | 41.3% | 63 | 22.0% |
| 13 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 25.3% | 0.75 | -67.0% | 45.4% | 141 | 17.3% |
| 14 | RSI (7) ✓ | Daily | 28.4% | 0.74 | -89.1% | 39.2% | 212 | 20.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Wayfair, Median MA on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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