The best indicator for Valero Energy (VLO)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Valero Energy (VLO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
TEMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Valero Energy (VLO) over ~44.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Valero Energy (VLO) — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.7% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 16.0% | 0.65 | -67.8% | 50.0% | 234 | 3.8% |
| 2 | TEMA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.4% | 0.58 | -72.1% | 36.1% | 441 | 0.2% |
| 3 | SMC: Order Block ✓ | Daily | 13.6% | 0.58 | -62.9% | 34.7% | 288 | 1.4% |
| 4 | Hull MA 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.57 | -50.7% | 42.5% | 339 | -0.4% |
| 5 | Hull MA 20/80 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.5% | 0.57 | -72.1% | 50.8% | 258 | 1.3% |
| 6 | Ichimoku TK Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.5% | 0.56 | -56.1% | 47.1% | 244 | 0.3% |
| 7 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.56 | -61.5% | 41.0% | 249 | 0.4% |
| 8 | TEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.56 | -61.1% | 45.3% | 457 | 0.6% |
| 9 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.56 | -57.3% | 40.8% | 419 | 0.6% |
| 10 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.55 | -67.8% | 41.1% | 246 | 0.1% |
| 11 | Chande Kroll Stop ✓ | Daily | 14.0% | 0.54 | -70.4% | 35.9% | 672 | 1.8% |
| 12 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.54 | -63.4% | 52.3% | 195 | 0.1% |
| 13 | DEMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.54 | -67.1% | 43.6% | 342 | -0.0% |
| 14 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 10.8% | 0.53 | -54.8% | 43.9% | 180 | -1.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Valero Energy (VLO), TEMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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