The best indicator for USD/SGD
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real USD/SGD history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where USD/SGD stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Parabolic SAR (fast)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for USD/SGD over ~23.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 2.8% CAGR.
USD/SGD on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for USD/SGD — beating buy-and-hold by 2.4% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parabolic SAR (fast) ✓ | Daily | 1.6% | 0.45 | -23.9% | 31.4% | 430 | 2.8% |
| 2 | DMI Direction ✓ | Daily | 1.5% | 0.42 | -20.1% | 22.0% | 273 | 2.8% |
| 3 | Parabolic SAR ✓ | Daily | 1.0% | 0.29 | -20.7% | 33.5% | 272 | 2.2% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 0.7% | 0.25 | -12.2% | 26.4% | 140 | 2.0% |
| 5 | Fisher Transform ✓ | Daily | 0.8% | 0.24 | -37.0% | 27.7% | 581 | 2.0% |
| 6 | ADXR ✓ | Daily | 0.7% | 0.24 | -14.8% | 27.7% | 173 | 2.0% |
| 7 | Choppiness Index ✓ | Weekly | 0.3% | 0.21 | -4.0% | 52.9% | 17 | 1.6% |
| 8 | Choppiness Index ✓ | Daily | 0.2% | 0.18 | -3.1% | 26.5% | 34 | 1.5% |
| 9 | CCI (100) | Daily | 0.5% | 0.16 | -9.9% | 22.7% | 97 | 1.8% |
| 10 | CCI (50) ✓ | Daily | 0.5% | 0.15 | -13.3% | 20.8% | 154 | 1.7% |
| 11 | Markov Regime (Confirmed) ✓ | Weekly | 0.1% | 0.23 | -2.0% | 33.3% | 9 | 1.4% |
| 12 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Daily | 0.4% | 0.12 | -27.0% | 25.1% | 215 | 1.6% |
| 13 | DeMarker (14) ✓ | Daily | 0.4% | 0.12 | -27.3% | 23.9% | 301 | 1.6% |
| 14 | Waddah Attar Explosion | Weekly | 0.2% | 0.11 | -6.6% | 38.2% | 55 | 1.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
The question doesn't apply here. Buy-and-hold on USD/SGD lost money across the out-of-sample window in 587 of 587 tests, so there is no positive benchmark to lever toward — clearing a negative bar is a much weaker claim than beating a real one, and we keep the two apart rather than counting it as a win. How we compute that
For USD/SGD, Parabolic SAR (fast) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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