The best indicator for Ulta Beauty (ULTA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Ulta Beauty (ULTA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
QQE
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Ulta Beauty (ULTA) over ~18.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 9.9% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Ulta Beauty (ULTA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 8.8% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQE ✓ | Weekly | 25.4% | 0.79 | -44.1% | 57.4% | 47 | 9.9% |
| 2 | Williams Fractals ✓ | Weekly | 19.2% | 0.73 | -41.3% | 41.2% | 17 | 3.7% |
| 3 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 21.5% | 0.7 | -64.9% | 31.2% | 16 | 5.5% |
| 4 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.6% | 0.67 | -65.4% | 22.2% | 18 | 4.6% |
| 5 | Connors RSI-2 ✓ | Daily | 15.1% | 0.66 | -50.8% | 65.7% | 210 | -0.9% |
| 6 | Ultimate Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 12.7% | 0.65 | -37.5% | 80.0% | 15 | -3.4% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 16.5% | 0.65 | -37.8% | 42.1% | 38 | 1.0% |
| 8 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Weekly | 16.8% | 0.64 | -50.3% | 53.1% | 32 | 1.3% |
| 9 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 14.8% | 0.63 | -46.5% | 62.4% | 109 | -0.7% |
| 10 | EMA 200 Trend ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.62 | -52.7% | 25.9% | 54 | -0.8% |
| 11 | DeMarker (21) ✓ | Weekly | 15.0% | 0.62 | -52.5% | 44.1% | 34 | -0.5% |
| 12 | Chande-Kroll Stop (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 17.5% | 0.62 | -64.9% | 57.7% | 52 | 2.0% |
| 13 | ALMA 100 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 14.1% | 0.62 | -48.9% | 47.4% | 19 | -1.3% |
| 14 | Advance Trend Pressure ✓ | Weekly | 15.7% | 0.62 | -48.4% | 57.8% | 45 | 0.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Ulta Beauty (ULTA), QQE on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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