The best indicator for UBS
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real UBS history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where UBS stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Center of Gravity
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for UBS over ~26.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 5.9% CAGR.
UBS on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.58 | -45.1% | 49.4% | 156 | 5.9% |
| 2 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 9.3% | 0.48 | -47.4% | 53.9% | 141 | 4.7% |
| 3 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.47 | -16.8% | 48.9% | 90 | -0.4% |
| 4 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.44 | -50.3% | 47.3% | 148 | 2.9% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.44 | -54.5% | 51.8% | 112 | 3.3% |
| 6 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 7.7% | 0.42 | -67.8% | 45.3% | 181 | 3.2% |
| 7 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 7.2% | 0.41 | -61.5% | 37.5% | 144 | 2.7% |
| 8 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.41 | -68.9% | 41.0% | 105 | 2.5% |
| 9 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.41 | -68.4% | 46.2% | 143 | 2.2% |
| 10 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Weekly | 2.2% | 0.41 | -11.0% | 52.8% | 36 | -2.3% |
| 11 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.39 | -70.2% | 48.9% | 137 | 2.2% |
| 12 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.39 | -69.7% | 38.3% | 277 | 2.3% |
| 13 | TRIMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.39 | -43.0% | 38.8% | 188 | 1.5% |
| 14 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 5.9% | 0.39 | -50.0% | 53.3% | 15 | 1.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on UBS
30 of 646 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on UBS outright. Another 280 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 218 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| QQE | 1 | 1.06× | 2.61× |
| Stoch RSI (fast) | 1 | 1.45× | 3.04× |
| Predictive Ranges | 1 | 1.82× | 2.79× |
| Rainbow MA | 1 | 2.02× | 3.9× |
| Williams %R (7) | 1 | 2.53× | 3.83× |
| MBFX Timing | 1 | 2.53× | 3.83× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For UBS, Center of Gravity on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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