The best indicator for UBS
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real UBS history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Center of Gravity
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for UBS over ~26.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 10.8% | 0.59 | -45.1% | 50.3% | 153 | 6.1% |
| 2 | Detrended Price Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.47 | -47.4% | 53.5% | 142 | 4.5% |
| 3 | Bollinger 10 (x1.5) Break ✓ | Weekly | 4.1% | 0.46 | -17.1% | 48.3% | 89 | -0.7% |
| 4 | Price Momentum Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.43 | -67.8% | 46.4% | 179 | 3.3% |
| 5 | Zero-Lag MACD ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.43 | -54.5% | 52.7% | 110 | 3.0% |
| 6 | Hull Suite ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.42 | -61.5% | 37.8% | 143 | 2.6% |
| 7 | Trade Volume Index ✓ | Daily | 7.5% | 0.42 | -68.9% | 42.4% | 99 | 2.8% |
| 8 | Chande Forecast Osc. ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.41 | -56.8% | 47.7% | 151 | 2.1% |
| 9 | Bollinger 30 (x2.0) Break ✓ | Weekly | 2.3% | 0.41 | -11.0% | 52.8% | 36 | -2.5% |
| 10 | TEMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.4 | -70.2% | 49.3% | 136 | 2.3% |
| 11 | Guppy Multiple MA ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.4 | -50.0% | 53.3% | 15 | 1.4% |
| 12 | Stoch RSI (fast) ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.4 | -68.4% | 49.0% | 143 | 1.9% |
| 13 | Price Volume Trend ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.39 | -69.7% | 38.2% | 275 | 2.2% |
| 14 | Projection Bands ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.39 | -55.0% | 67.3% | 52 | 1.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For UBS, Center of Gravity on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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