The best indicator for United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real United Airlines Holdings (UAL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where United Airlines Holdings (UAL) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Volume Zone Oscillator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) over ~20.6 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.5% CAGR.
United Airlines Holdings (UAL) on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 17.9% | 0.58 | -59.8% | 45.5% | 486 | 11.5% |
| 2 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | 15.3% | 0.52 | -68.3% | 35.3% | 249 | 8.9% |
| 3 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 15.8% | 0.52 | -59.0% | 48.6% | 37 | 9.6% |
| 4 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 14.0% | 0.51 | -85.5% | 37.5% | 24 | 7.7% |
| 5 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 13.7% | 0.51 | -75.0% | 76.2% | 21 | 7.5% |
| 6 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.51 | -65.4% | 58.1% | 43 | 9.4% |
| 7 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Daily | 12.2% | 0.49 | -63.9% | 46.0% | 265 | 5.9% |
| 8 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 11.7% | 0.49 | -75.1% | 75.9% | 29 | 5.5% |
| 9 | ZLEMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.48 | -61.2% | 46.5% | 383 | 5.6% |
| 10 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.47 | -58.8% | 43.1% | 313 | 5.2% |
| 11 | Arnaud Legoux MA ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.47 | -60.7% | 41.3% | 484 | 5.6% |
| 12 | Least Squares MA ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.47 | -76.1% | 43.4% | 433 | 5.7% |
| 13 | ROC (5) ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.47 | -68.1% | 42.1% | 511 | 5.6% |
| 14 | McGinley 100 Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.2% | 0.47 | -80.7% | 18.8% | 16 | 4.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
12 of 630 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on United Airlines Holdings (UAL) outright. Another 82 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 282 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zero-Lag MACD | 2 | 1.6× | 2.58× |
| Williams %R | 1 | 1.08× | 2.78× |
| Accelerator Oscillator | 1 | 1.4× | 1.95× |
| Chande Forecast Osc. | 1 | 1.48× | 2.44× |
| MA Envelope | 1 | 1.64× | 2.68× |
| Stochastic | 1 | none needed | 1.96× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For United Airlines Holdings (UAL), Volume Zone Oscillator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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