The best indicator for United Airlines Holdings (UAL)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real United Airlines Holdings (UAL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Volume Zone Oscillator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) over ~20.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 12.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for United Airlines Holdings (UAL) — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volume Zone Oscillator ✓ | Daily | 18.9% | 0.6 | -59.8% | 45.5% | 477 | 12.8% |
| 2 | McGinley Dynamic ✓ | Daily | 15.1% | 0.52 | -68.3% | 35.8% | 246 | 9.0% |
| 3 | Stochastic Momentum Index ✓ | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.52 | -75.0% | 76.2% | 21 | 8.1% |
| 4 | McGinley 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 13.9% | 0.51 | -85.5% | 37.5% | 24 | 7.8% |
| 5 | LSMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 15.5% | 0.51 | -65.4% | 58.1% | 43 | 9.5% |
| 6 | Ease of Movement ✓ | Daily | 12.3% | 0.49 | -63.9% | 46.2% | 260 | 6.1% |
| 7 | Ehlers Reflex ✓ | Weekly | 14.0% | 0.49 | -59.0% | 50.0% | 36 | 7.9% |
| 8 | Stochastic RSI ✓ | Weekly | 11.4% | 0.48 | -75.1% | 75.9% | 29 | 5.4% |
| 9 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Daily | 12.1% | 0.48 | -58.8% | 42.9% | 308 | 5.9% |
| 10 | ROC (5) ✓ | Daily | 11.9% | 0.47 | -68.1% | 41.7% | 503 | 5.8% |
| 11 | Arnaud Legoux MA ✓ | Daily | 11.5% | 0.46 | -60.7% | 41.2% | 478 | 5.4% |
| 12 | Sine-Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 11.6% | 0.46 | -74.8% | 36.5% | 277 | 5.5% |
| 13 | Pascal's Weighted MA ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.46 | -65.0% | 45.9% | 255 | 3.9% |
| 14 | Woodie Pivots ✓ | Daily | 11.4% | 0.46 | -55.2% | 46.5% | 1106 | 5.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For United Airlines Holdings (UAL), Volume Zone Oscillator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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