The best indicator for Twilio
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Twilio history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Volume Flow Indicator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Twilio over ~10.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 14.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 35.8% | 0.89 | -45.2% | 41.7% | 24 | 14.9% |
| 2 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Daily | 33.0% | 0.88 | -48.5% | 50.0% | 18 | 12.1% |
| 3 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Daily | 33.2% | 0.88 | -57.0% | 58.8% | 17 | 12.4% |
| 4 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 20.9% | 0.83 | -33.9% | 67.6% | 74 | 0.0% |
| 5 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 30.9% | 0.83 | -65.6% | 41.9% | 86 | 10.0% |
| 6 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 30.9% | 0.87 | -43.0% | 64.3% | 14 | 9.1% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 24.5% | 0.8 | -63.1% | 47.5% | 59 | 3.7% |
| 8 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Daily | 28.3% | 0.78 | -63.5% | 40.2% | 127 | 7.5% |
| 9 | KAMA 30 Trend ✓ | Daily | 26.9% | 0.77 | -46.5% | 37.5% | 96 | 6.1% |
| 10 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Daily | 28.0% | 0.76 | -73.9% | 45.8% | 155 | 7.2% |
| 11 | G-Channel ✓ | Daily | 26.0% | 0.76 | -67.3% | 39.1% | 64 | 5.1% |
| 12 | Elastic VW MA ✓ | Daily | 27.1% | 0.76 | -69.7% | 39.6% | 91 | 6.2% |
| 13 | Supertrend (10,3) ✓ | Daily | 25.9% | 0.75 | -71.5% | 51.6% | 31 | 5.1% |
| 14 | Ehlers SuperSmoother ✓ | Daily | 26.4% | 0.75 | -57.9% | 44.0% | 332 | 5.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Twilio, Volume Flow Indicator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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