The best indicator for Twilio
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Twilio history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Twilio stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Volume Flow Indicator
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Twilio over ~10.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 15.0% CAGR.
Twilio on the daily chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
Chart by TradingView. Loading it contacts tradingview.com, which may set its own cookies — see our privacy policy.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volume Flow Indicator ✓ | Daily | 40.4% | 0.95 | -45.2% | 41.7% | 24 | 15.0% |
| 2 | Supertrend (14,4) ✓ | Daily | 34.5% | 0.91 | -48.5% | 52.6% | 19 | 9.1% |
| 3 | Laguerre RSI ✓ | Daily | 24.0% | 0.9 | -33.9% | 67.9% | 78 | -1.4% |
| 4 | Pivot Point SuperTrend ✓ | Daily | 34.2% | 0.89 | -57.0% | 61.1% | 18 | 8.8% |
| 5 | Momentum (50) ✓ | Weekly | 35.4% | 0.94 | -43.0% | 64.3% | 14 | 9.2% |
| 6 | Smoothed MA (Wilder) ✓ | Daily | 32.7% | 0.87 | -65.6% | 41.6% | 89 | 7.3% |
| 7 | Chaikin Money Flow ✓ | Daily | 32.3% | 0.84 | -63.5% | 40.5% | 131 | 6.9% |
| 8 | Twiggs Money Flow ✓ | Daily | 32.0% | 0.83 | -73.9% | 45.9% | 159 | 6.6% |
| 9 | G-Channel ✓ | Daily | 30.0% | 0.82 | -67.3% | 40.0% | 65 | 4.6% |
| 10 | Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power) ✓ | Weekly | 30.5% | 0.81 | -53.5% | 44.4% | 27 | 4.3% |
| 11 | ROC (30) ✓ | Weekly | 28.4% | 0.81 | -50.8% | 52.6% | 19 | 2.1% |
| 12 | CMO (30) ✓ | Weekly | 28.4% | 0.81 | -50.8% | 52.6% | 19 | 2.1% |
| 13 | Momentum (30) ✓ | Weekly | 28.4% | 0.81 | -50.8% | 52.6% | 19 | 2.1% |
| 14 | Markov Regime (Confirmed) ✓ | Weekly | 22.4% | 0.81 | -57.3% | 68.4% | 38 | -3.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Twilio
8 of 471 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Twilio outright. Another 214 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 201 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Relative Volatility Index | 1 | 1.95× | 2.49× |
| DEMA 20/50 Cross | 1 | none needed | 4.85× |
| TEMA 20/50 Cross | 1 | none needed | 5.03× |
| Fisher Transform | 1 | none needed | 4.44× |
| Relative Vigor Index | 1 | none needed | 3.96× |
| MAMA / FAMA | 1 | none needed | 3.75× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Twilio, Volume Flow Indicator on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get alerted when Twilio’s signal flips
We track Twilio daily. Its backtested best indicator, Volume Flow Indicator (Daily), is long right now — we'll email you the moment that changes. Free, no spam, unsubscribe any time.