The best indicator for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
We backtested 366 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WMA 10/40 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) over ~15.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 0.8% CAGR.
Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 27.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 42.1% | 1.06 | -54.5% | 41.7% | 72 | 0.8% |
| 2 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 40.7% | 1.05 | -49.0% | 56.0% | 75 | -0.6% |
| 3 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 40.1% | 1.05 | -39.3% | 57.4% | 94 | -2.9% |
| 4 | Gann HiLo Activator ✓ | Weekly | 42.7% | 1.05 | -60.5% | 52.7% | 55 | -0.3% |
| 5 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Daily | 41.5% | 1.04 | -69.7% | 47.5% | 80 | 0.1% |
| 6 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 40.4% | 1.04 | -55.4% | 60.6% | 99 | -2.5% |
| 7 | Ehlers Cyber Cycle ✓ | Weekly | 40.7% | 1.03 | -54.5% | 54.9% | 82 | -2.3% |
| 8 | Disparity (5) ✓ | Weekly | 41.3% | 1.03 | -63.1% | 51.6% | 95 | -1.7% |
| 9 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 40.3% | 1.02 | -64.9% | 45.3% | 106 | -1.0% |
| 10 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Daily | 40.7% | 1.02 | -65.9% | 43.1% | 102 | -0.6% |
| 11 | Correlation Trend ✓ | Daily | 40.3% | 1.02 | -64.9% | 45.3% | 106 | -1.0% |
| 12 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Weekly | 37.2% | 1.02 | -55.3% | 47.3% | 74 | -5.8% |
| 13 | WMA 10/30 Cross ✓ | Daily | 38.9% | 1.01 | -65.7% | 37.6% | 93 | -2.4% |
| 14 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 37.8% | 1.01 | -60.4% | 44.2% | 77 | -3.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), WMA 10/40 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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