The best indicator for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
We backtested 382 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted over the full backtest, with costs, and checked out-of-sample.
Where Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stands
Computed from our own daily OHLCV history, not quoted from a third party. Moving averages use closing prices; "52-week" is the last 252 trading sessions.
Rainbow MA
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) over ~16.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 3.0% CAGR.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the weekly chart
The timeframe our backtest found best for this asset. The chart is live market data; the results above are hypothetical and historical.
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Best multi-indicator combo
Going long only when all 2 agree was the strongest confluence setup we found for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) — trailing buy-and-hold by 27.3% CAGR, out-of-sample. Fewer, higher-conviction trades than any single indicator.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rainbow MA ✓ | Weekly | 44.6% | 1.09 | -57.1% | 51.2% | 84 | 3.0% |
| 2 | Center of Gravity ✓ | Weekly | 39.7% | 1.05 | -39.3% | 58.3% | 96 | -1.9% |
| 3 | Stochastic (10,3) ✓ | Weekly | 40.3% | 1.05 | -55.4% | 61.0% | 100 | -1.3% |
| 4 | Ehlers Roofing Filter ✓ | Daily | 39.8% | 1.04 | -49.0% | 55.3% | 76 | 0.2% |
| 5 | WMA 10/40 Cross ✓ | Daily | 40.8% | 1.04 | -54.5% | 40.5% | 74 | 1.3% |
| 6 | Gann HiLo Activator ✓ | Weekly | 41.9% | 1.04 | -60.5% | 53.6% | 56 | 0.3% |
| 7 | Ehlers TrendFlex ✓ | Daily | 40.1% | 1.02 | -69.7% | 46.3% | 82 | 0.6% |
| 8 | Jurik MA (approx.) ✓ | Weekly | 36.9% | 1.02 | -55.3% | 49.3% | 75 | -4.7% |
| 9 | Disparity (5) ✓ | Weekly | 40.3% | 1.02 | -63.1% | 51.0% | 98 | -1.3% |
| 10 | SMC: Fair Value Gap ✓ | Weekly | 40.6% | 1.02 | -56.1% | 55.6% | 36 | -1.0% |
| 11 | T3 8/21 Cross ✓ | Daily | 37.1% | 1.0 | -60.4% | 43.6% | 78 | -2.4% |
| 12 | TRIX (9) ✓ | Daily | 38.5% | 1.0 | -71.5% | 40.3% | 77 | -1.0% |
| 13 | Linear Regression Slope ✓ | Daily | 38.7% | 0.99 | -64.9% | 45.4% | 108 | -0.8% |
| 14 | Coppock Curve ✓ | Daily | 39.0% | 0.99 | -65.9% | 43.3% | 104 | -0.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
What it would take to beat buy & hold on Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
322 of 1274 tested setups beat buy-and-hold on Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) outright. Another 251 could get there with leverage they would survive — but 212 would be liquidated by their own drawdown before they caught it.
| Indicator | Beats B&H unlevered | Leverage needed | Leverage survived |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klinger Oscillator | 3 | none needed | 2.23× |
| FRAMA 10/30 Cross | 3 | none needed | 2.28× |
| Sine-Weighted MA | 2 | 1.15× | 2.4× |
| SMC: Fair Value Gap | 2 | 1.87× | 2.82× |
| Laguerre RSI | 2 | 2.07× | 7.67× |
| VWAP Bands | 2 | 1.26× | 9.8× |
Out-of-sample, costs included. A setup is only listed if the leverage it needs is less than the leverage its own worst drawdown survives — when it isn't, no amount of leverage gets there. Volatility drag isn't modelled, so these are the optimistic case. Every indicator, ranked this way
For Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Rainbow MA on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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